What the fuck man

Sale 1:

Sold for 19 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119559575#!/compare/1754956800/1755043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198875574345#!/compare/1754611200/1755043200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T12:06:24.712Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/15233968574

= 19 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 19 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199206009808#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061633018#!/compare/1755648000/1755820800

https://backpack.tf/item/15226445841

= 19 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for Vivid Plasma Commonwealth Commando + ~2 keys in pure/items

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199207750538#!/compare/1754092800/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199441729899#!/compare/1752710400/1754524800

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

https://i.imgur.com/MvtC7rC.png - B/O was 17

This easily caps, buyers at ~17 on the Commonwealth.

= 17 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 4:

Sold for 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199387315539#!/compare/1748390400/1748476800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859755728#!/compare/1748390400/1748476800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T10:39:12.256Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/15717593169

= 17 keys

Sale 5:

Sold with less than half a key in metal (at the time) for 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1750896000/1750982400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020364881#!/compare/1750809600/1751241600

https://backpack.tf/item/15655808558

= 17 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995713416#!/compare/1747785600/1747958400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199853690889#!/compare/1747958400/1748044800

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

= 17 keys

Sale 7:

Sold for 16 keys + ~1 key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800 - Near ID: 15846197083

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199000935745#!/compare/1750204800/1750291200

https://backpack.tf/item/15465085942

Metal on the buyer’s end

= 17 keys

Sale 8:

Sold for 16 keys + negligible metal (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1749168000/1749254400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198172573626#!/compare/1749254400/1749427200

https://backpack.tf/item/15370684833

= 16 keys

Sale 9:

Sold for 16 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198866342605#!/compare/1750377600/1755302400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129718272#!/compare/1755302400/1755820800

https://backpack.tf/item/15965630994

= 16 keys

Sale 10:

Sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1752105600/1752192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198399281848#!/compare/1752105600/1755820800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T12:06:24.712Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/15919121647

= 15 keys

Sale 11:

Sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021055079#!/compare/1752537600/1752624000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198739125 - won’t update

https://i.imgur.com/OScqOQK.png

https://backpack.tf/item/15229955374

= 15 keys

Sale 12:

Sold for 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799632657#!/compare/1755129600/1755216000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047609644#!/compare/1755129600/1755302400

https://backpack.tf/item/15241082227

= 15 keys

Sale 13:

Sold to a buy order for 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269047783#!/compare/1751673600/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198402614129#!/compare/1751673600/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

= 14 keys

Sale 14:

Sold for 14 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199506957704#!/compare/1709596800/1748131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100190203#!/compare/1747785600/1748131200

https://backpack.tf/item/15370684833

= 14 keys

Sale 15:

Sold to a bot for 14 keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199384906333#!/compare/1750032000/1750118400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119559575#!/compare/1750032000/1750118400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T12:06:24.712Z - labelled as 13 keys + 1.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/15233968574

Maybe I miscounted, maybe a bunch of metal went with the hat that isn’t traceable. I’m just going to value it at 14 keys here, doesn’t affect the range of the suggestion anyway given all the other sales.

= 14 keys

Sale 16:

Sold for 13 keys + 1 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087511120#!/compare/1753660800/1753747200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018330195#!/compare/1753660800/1753747200

https://backpack.tf/item/15855777207

= 13 keys

Sale 17:

Sold for 13 keys + less than a key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1754784000/1754870400 - Near ID: 16036011145

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799632657#!/compare/1754784000/1754870400

https://backpack.tf/item/15241082227

= 13 keys

Sale 18:

Sold for 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199073805105#!/compare/1752364800/1752451200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255301049#!/compare/1752364800/1752451200

https://backpack.tf/item/15228521399

= 12 keys

Sale 19:

Sold for Festivized Spec. KS Aussie SMG

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040425824#!/compare/1754438400/1754524800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199850405987#!/compare/1754524800/1754611200

https://backpack.tf/item/15228521399

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Festivized%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Australium%20SMG&at=2025-08-22T12:15:33.148Z - Recent sales at ~10.5-11.5 keys on the SMG, taking 11

= 11 keys

Sale 20:

Sold to a bot for 11 keys + 3 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199011664013#!/compare/1751500800/1752710400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102237820#!/compare/1752192000/1752364800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T10:39:12.256Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/15880338028

= 11 keys

Sale 21:

Sold to a bot for 10 keys + ~1 key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199166464688#!/compare/1752710400/1753401600 - Near ID: 15966989480

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199536459741#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/item/15539190587

= 11 keys

Sale 22:

Sold to a bot for 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084310484#!/compare/1751846400/1752105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1752019200/1752105600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T12:06:24.712Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/15919121647

= 11 keys

Sale 23:

Sold for 10 keys + 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049679363#!/compare/1752624000/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1752710400/1752796800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T10:39:12.256Z - labelled as 10 keys + 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/15448692314

6 keys + 10 ref match, we have the exact amount of metal, close to the right amount of keys, and some indication that keys were spent on other things on the same day. Gonna assume gladiator is correct here.

= 10 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31505;5;u369

https://backpack.tf/item/15226445841 - either August 1st or 2nd, followed by a bot dump

https://backpack.tf/item/15502276489 - most likely early July

https://backpack.tf/item/15965630994 - Another early July

https://backpack.tf/item/15229955374 - July 13th, my buy order.

https://backpack.tf/item/15754015345 - August 8th or 14th. Couldn’t verify any other histories.

$39.19, May 29th, August 2nd, 8th, & 14th

$31.95, July 1st, 5th, 12th, & 15th

$28, July 13th

$32.66, July 30th

$32.99, August 1st

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.93, May 29th

$2, July 1st

$2.02, July 5th, 12th, 13th

$2.01, July 15th

$1.94, July 30th

$1.90, August 1st & 2nd

$1.86, August 8th

$1.82, August 14th

39.19/1.93 = 20.306, rounds to 20 keys

39.19/1.9 = 20.626, rounds to 21 keys

39.19/1.86 = 21.07, rounds to 21 keys

39.19/1.82 = 21.533, rounds to 22 keys

31.95/2 = 15.975, rounds to 16 keys

31.95/2.02 = 15.817, rounds to 16 keys (3x)

28/2.02 = 13.861, rounds to 14 keys

32.66/1.94 = 16.835, rounds to 17 keys

32.99/1.9 = 17.363, rounds to 17 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199831712239#!/compare/1751328000/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198844044930#!/compare/1751673600/1751846400

https://backpack.tf/item/15880338028

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198844044930#!/compare/1751673600/1751846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1752019200/1752105600

https://backpack.tf/item/15880338028

Untraceable, most likely 13 keys to a backpack that wasn’t scanned though

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1752192000/1752278400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199011664013#!/compare/1751500800/1752710400

https://backpack.tf/item/15880338028

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102237820#!/compare/1752451200/1752537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162800708#!/compare/1752451200/1752537600

https://backpack.tf/item/15880338028

Untraceable, most likely marketplace

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162800708#!/compare/1752624000/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1752624000/1752710400

https://backpack.tf/item/15880338028

Gambled

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199848605879#!/compare/1748995200/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198409337936#!/compare/1749168000/1750636800

https://backpack.tf/item/15855777207

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260686830#!/compare/1752105600/1752451200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1752278400/1752364800

https://backpack.tf/item/15855777207

Bulk for keys

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1752451200/1752537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1752451200/1752624000

https://backpack.tf/item/15855777207

Untraceable, gambling involved

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1753488000/1753574400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199814972262#!/compare/1753488000/1753574400

https://backpack.tf/item/15855777207

More gambling

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199814972262#!/compare/1753574400/1753660800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304718659#!/compare/1753401600/1753574400

https://backpack.tf/item/15855777207

Gambled again

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304718659#!/compare/1753574400/1753747200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087511120#!/compare/1753574400/1753660800

https://backpack.tf/item/15855777207

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364750192#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879017688#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/item/15818323150

Untraceable, might be missing info in history

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960476801#!/compare/1749859200/1750118400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149824582#!/compare/1749686400/1749945600

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Untraceable

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149824582#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199166009938#!/compare/1750118400/1750291200

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Probably gambled

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199166009938#!/compare/1750291200/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071259044#!/compare/1749340800/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Untraceable

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071259044#!/compare/1750550400/1750636800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238680642#!/compare/1750809600/1750896000

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Untraceable, most likely gambled

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238680642#!/compare/1750896000/1750982400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086972914#!/compare/1750896000/1750982400

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Untraceable, probably gambled

#18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086972914#!/compare/1751673600/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269047783#!/compare/1751673600/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Sold with 6 keys for Spectral Spectrum Essential Accessories. This spelled item only moved in bulk, so I wasn’t able to mini it, and I don’t think it’s gonna be worth searching other histories with the same spell here.

#19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198402614129#!/compare/1751673600/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199170056182#!/compare/1749600000/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Untraceable/Gambled

#20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199170056182#!/compare/1751760000/1752537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454556721#!/compare/1751414400/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Gambled

#21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454556721#!/compare/1751414400/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198848526026#!/compare/1751587200/1751932800

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Untraceable

#22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198848526026#!/compare/1751932800/1752105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260221476#!/compare/1751846400/1752105600

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Untraceable

#23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260221476#!/compare/1752624000/1752710400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1752537600/1752624000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T10:39:12.256Z - labelled as 11 keys + 10 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Untraceable

#24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1753228800/1753315200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198226525604#!/compare/1753142400/1753315200

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Untraceable, some keys match. Does not show up on gladiator (what are they hiding from us!!!)

#25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198226525604#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067931499#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Untraceable

#26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198849232504#!/compare/1754092800/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199207750538#!/compare/1754006400/1754092800

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Bulk for Strange Pro. KS AWPer hand

#27

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063978488#!/compare/1749340800/1749600000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1749513600/1749600000

https://backpack.tf/item/15800284617

Untraceable

#28

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1751155200/1751241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015121976#!/compare/1751500800/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/item/15800284617

Untraceable, probably marketplace

#29

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199370215885#!/compare/1750291200/1750377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199078906471#!/compare/1629590400/1751155200

https://backpack.tf/item/15798931132

Untraceable

#30

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199274618251#!/compare/1751068800/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139677993#!/compare/1751414400/1751500800

https://backpack.tf/item/15780386044

Untraceable

#31

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139677993#!/compare/1751500800/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962821756#!/compare/1751500800/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/item/15780386044

Untraceable, gambling involved

#32

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962821756#!/compare/1751587200/1751673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166988558#!/compare/1751500800/1751673600

https://backpack.tf/item/15780386044

Bulk/untraceable, probably more gambling

#33

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166988558#!/compare/1752278400/1752364800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198373573340#!/compare/1752278400/1752364800

https://backpack.tf/item/15780386044

Untraceable, more gambling. Skipping trades in this history until the next non-gambled trade

#34

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199176959513#!/compare/1754611200/1755216000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062307439#!/compare/1754611200/1754697600

https://backpack.tf/item/15780386044

Untraceable

#35

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859755728#!/compare/1749513600/1749772800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1749772800/1749945600

https://backpack.tf/item/15717593169

Collector’s Pro. KS Ambassador

#36

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1752192000/1752278400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071228987#!/compare/1408863600/1754438400

https://backpack.tf/item/15717593169

Untraceable

#37

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114039731#!/compare/1748995200/1755820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1750636800/1750723200

https://backpack.tf/item/15655808558

Untraceable

#38

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199853690889#!/compare/1747958400/1748044800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199506957704#!/compare/1709596800/1748131200

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Untraceable/Bulk, or to bot owner

#39

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199506957704#!/compare/1709596800/1748131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995713416#!/compare/1748131200/1748217600

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Untraceable

#40

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995713416#!/compare/1748217600/1748304000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350539625#!/compare/1747612800/1748304000

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Untraceable

#41

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350539625#!/compare/1747612800/1748304000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198187310649#!/compare/1748304000/1748390400

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Untraceable, probably gambled

#42

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198187310649#!/compare/1748304000/1748390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044871159#!/compare/1748304000/1748390400

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Most likely gambled

#43

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044871159#!/compare/1748390400/1749081600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231600632#!/compare/1747180800/1748736000

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

More gambling

#44

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231600632#!/compare/1748995200/1749081600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283425075#!/compare/1738454400/1749168000

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Even more gambling

#45

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283425075#!/compare/1749168000/1755820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198225182712#!/compare/1748736000/1749340800

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Untraceable

#46

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198225182712#!/compare/1749859200/1754092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313266665#!/compare/1747008000/1750118400

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Gambling

#47

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198313266665#!/compare/1750118400/1751932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199679681139#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Probably gambled

#48

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199679681139#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199853690889#!/compare/1750118400/1750204800

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Probably gambling. If i had to guess, I’d say this bot is used as a store for a gambling site or something

#49

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199853690889#!/compare/1750291200/1750377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069802516#!/compare/1750377600/1750464000

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Untraceable

#50

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069802516#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Untraceable

#51

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071259044#!/compare/1749340800/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Cloud 9 Tyrantium matches, I’m certain more was involved.

#52

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071259044#!/compare/1750550400/1750636800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049173682#!/compare/1750550400/1750723200

https://backpack.tf/item/15570474740

Untraceable

#53

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199536459741#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199086162266#!/compare/1736812800/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/item/15539190587

Untraceable

#54

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260221476#!/compare/1750723200/1750896000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202090646#!/compare/1750636800/1750723200

https://backpack.tf/item/15532682531

Bulk/untraceable

#55

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202090646#!/compare/1750723200/1750809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074147694#!/compare/1750464000/1750809600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T10:39:12.256Z - labelled as 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15532682531

#56

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041742157#!/compare/1748563200/1750377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1750032000/1750118400

https://backpack.tf/item/15465085942

Untraceable

#57

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199000935745#!/compare/1752278400/1755820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1752192000/1752278400

https://backpack.tf/item/15465085942

Untraceable, 2 keys match

#58

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067931499#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/item/15465085942

Untraceable

#59

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067931499#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1754092800/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/item/15465085942

Untraceable

#60

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1754524800/1754611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056041780#!/compare/1754611200/1754784000

https://backpack.tf/item/15465085942

Untraceable

#61

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198378582929#!/compare/1751068800/1751068800 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1751414400/1751500800

https://backpack.tf/item/15448715180

Untraceable

#62

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1751500800/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297687021#!/compare/1716422400/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/item/15448715180

Untraceable

#63

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1752796800/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198797309560#!/compare/1752537600/1753315200

https://backpack.tf/item/15448692314

Untraceable

#64

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198797309560#!/compare/1752537600/1753315200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1753228800/1753315200

https://backpack.tf/item/15448692314

Untraceable, gambling involved, most likely. Similar story for the rest of the history.

#65

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363395191#!/compare/1750377600/1750464000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199090920813#!/compare/1750896000/1753315200

https://backpack.tf/item/15446217005

Untraceable

#66

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089893537#!/compare/1754092800/1754784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1754006400/1754092800

https://backpack.tf/item/15426467803

Bulk for DBD Tavish’s Crown

#67

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1754352000/1754438400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168434021#!/compare/1753056000/1754438400

https://backpack.tf/item/15426467803

Untraceable

#68

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1748044800/1748131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199506957704#!/compare/1709596800/1748131200

https://backpack.tf/item/15370684833

Bulk/untraceable, most likely missing info in history

#69

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100190203#!/compare/1748131200/1748304000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199757516700#!/compare/1747958400/1748217600

https://backpack.tf/item/15370684833

Untraceable

#70

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199757516700#!/compare/1748390400/1748476800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1748390400/1748476800

https://backpack.tf/item/15370684833

8 keys match

#71

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198332655490#!/compare/1748390400/1748736000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020773631#!/compare/1646265600/1749168000

https://backpack.tf/item/15313285788

SCM

#72

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036523429#!/compare/1750550400/1750723200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1751155200/1751241600

https://backpack.tf/item/15279931306

Untraceable

#73

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1751328000/1751414400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128968043#!/compare/1751500800/1751587200

https://backpack.tf/item/15279931306

Untraceable, missing info and most likely gambled

#74

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128968043#!/compare/1751587200/1752364800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796100920#!/compare/1663632000/1752105600

https://backpack.tf/item/15279931306

Untraceable

#75

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198796100920#!/compare/1752105600/1752192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199078526064#!/compare/1737849600/1752192000

https://backpack.tf/item/15279931306

Untraceable

#76

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199078526064#!/compare/1752192000/1752278400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1752364800/1752451200

https://backpack.tf/item/15279931306

Untraceable

#77

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199487343632#!/compare/1752192000/1752364800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196029463#!/compare/1752192000/1752278400

https://backpack.tf/item/15228521399

8 keys match

#78

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196029463#!/compare/1752278400/1752364800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199073805105#!/compare/1752278400/1752364800

https://backpack.tf/item/15228521399

Bulk for Stormy Storm Sophisitcated Smoker

#79

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255301049#!/compare/1752364800/1752451200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295860135#!/compare/1752364800/1752451200

https://backpack.tf/item/15228521399

Sold with Dragonflies’ Lucent for Steaming Merc’s Mohawk. Would be ideal to use there instead.

#80

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295860135#!/compare/1752537600/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198874905974#!/compare/1752710400/1752796800

https://backpack.tf/item/15228521399

Sold for Strange Spec. KS Clover Camo’d Shotgun (Field Tested). The shotgun has sales at ~3 keys worth on the SCM.

#81

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198874905974#!/compare/1753833600/1754006400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044681093#!/compare/1753920000/1754006400

https://backpack.tf/item/15228521399

Bulk for Logo Industrial Festivizer

#82

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044681093#!/compare/1754006400/1754092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040425824#!/compare/1754006400/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/item/15228521399

Appears to be bulk for keys

#83

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067522907#!/compare/1754697600/1755043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199206009808#!/compare/1754524800/1754697600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199206009808#!/compare/1754524800/1754697600

Untraceable

#84

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026605090#!/compare/1748995200/1750032000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1749945600/1750032000

https://backpack.tf/item/15965630994

Backpack buy

#85

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1750032000/1750118400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199123760831#!/compare/1750636800/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/item/15965630994

Most likely marketplace

#86

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199123760831#!/compare/1752537600/1752624000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235913312#!/compare/1749772800/1752710400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T12:06:24.712Z - labelled as 11 keys + 3 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/15965630994

#87

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235913312#!/compare/1752710400/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044306087#!/compare/1752364800/1752796800

https://backpack.tf/item/15965630994

I’m guessing this is bot/owner

#88

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044306087#!/compare/1752796800/1754092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177197071#!/compare/1752624000/1752883200

https://backpack.tf/item/15965630994

Untraceable

#89

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177197071#!/compare/1752883200/1753315200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1753228800/1753315200

https://backpack.tf/item/15965630994

Untraceable

#90

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198866342605#!/compare/1750377600/1755302400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aurora%20Skies%20Crimbo%20Cap&at=2025-08-22T12:06:24.712Z - labelled as 15 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15965630994

Untraceable

#91

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199502156612#!/compare/1752105600/1752192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850407517#!/compare/1752105600/1752192000

https://backpack.tf/item/15229955374

Untraceable, next in history went to my marketplace buy order

#92

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146646033#!/compare/1754870400/1755820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1754784000/1754870400

https://backpack.tf/item/15241082227

Untraceable, skipped past the potential gambling prior

#93

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067931499#!/compare/1753574400/1753747200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198849232504#!/compare/1753747200/1753833600

https://backpack.tf/item/15807806280

Sold for Exorcism Strange Flamethrower + Static Mist Deuling Banjo. No B/O.

Forgive me, but I don’t feel like updating the Dueling Banjo, this is not going to affect the price here, given the broad amount of sales we already have.

https://backpack.tf/item/15683141265 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/15346912892 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/15229914943 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/15226117462 - mannco

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/NaEXs6b.png

https://backpack.tf/item/15229128626 - 19 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15370684833 - 21 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15588922057 - 22 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15295664634 - 43 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31505;5;u369

https://backpack.tf/item/15241082227 - $39.99

https://backpack.tf/item/15225291827 - $59.99

https://backpack.tf/item/15308340184 - $119.99

Sales at:

10

11 (4x)

12

13 (2x)

14 (4x, 1 marketplace)

15 (3x)

16 (6x, 4 marketplace)

17 (7x, 2 marketplace)

19 (2x)

20 (marketplace)

21 (2x, marketplace)

22 (marketplace)

There are an abundance of buyers at ~13.4 keys, though it looks like they’ve only somewhat recently gone back up to this value after dipping to ~11 keys, according to gladiator.tf purchases. I’m not even convinced that I should be excluding 11 or 12 here, but I will exclude them, though I’m keeping 13 in the range.

Aged seller at 19 keys, next highest at 21. Given this is going to be a wide range, I’m not too keen on stretching too much past these sellers. I’ll keep 21 in the range, and exclude 22.

Taking 13-21 keys.

Don’t remember what my previous record for most sales in a suggestion is, but this easily beats it at 116 (or 127 if we count marketplace).