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Sale 1:
Sold for 62 keys + negligible metal
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1751328000/1751414400 - Near ID: 15891386574
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161953994#!/compare/1751328000/1751414400
https://backpack.tf/item/14727646986
= 62 keys
Sale 2:
Sold for 44 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1753488000/1753574400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198137429#!/compare/1745193600/1754092800
https://backpack.tf/item/14727646986
Seems low, but Clone’s server does confirm the B/O
https://i.imgur.com/UHQvh6O.png
= 44 keys
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31461;5;u342
https://backpack.tf/item/15973063145 - July 26th, couldn’t confirm the other one
$120, July 26th & August 3rd
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:
$1.95, July 26th
$1.90, August 3rd
120/1.95 = 61.538, rounds to 62 keys
120/1.9 = 63.158, rounds to 63 keys
Other Sales:
#1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199000043065#!/compare/1752451200/1752537600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059173505#!/compare/1752624000/1752710400
https://backpack.tf/item/15918194294
Untraceable
#2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059173505#!/compare/1753660800/1755907200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1753574400/1753660800
https://backpack.tf/item/15918194294
Untraceable, only 25 keys match
#3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198363628327#!/compare/1748736000/1748822400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158568880#!/compare/1748649600/1748736000
https://backpack.tf/item/14734278335
Untraceable
#4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161953994#!/compare/1753401600/1753574400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1753401600/1753488000
https://backpack.tf/item/14727646986
Bulk for Sunbeams Big Country
#5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043566764#!/compare/1750723200/1750982400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859266074#!/compare/1752192000/1754784000
https://backpack.tf/item/14687981277
Untraceable
#6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057414229#!/compare/1753401600/1754352000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600
https://backpack.tf/item/15967415747
Untraceable, 1 key in metal matches. Item has since resold, but buyer hasn’t been scanned yet.
#7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231709968#!/compare/1753833600/1753920000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1754352000/1754438400
https://backpack.tf/item/15957883427
Untraceable
#8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183396245#!/compare/1753660800/1753747200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1753401600/1753747200
https://backpack.tf/item/15973063145
Bulk for Sunbeams Hong Kong Cone
Item has since resold, but buyer hasn’t been scanned yet.
https://backpack.tf/item/15756458992 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/15676473350 - mannco
https://backpack.tf/item/14933077462 - mannco
Sellers:
https://i.imgur.com/7YZ1Msd.png
https://backpack.tf/item/15918194294 - 60 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/14884545259 - 62 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/14734278335 - 65 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/14933077462 - 66 keys
Sales at:
44
62 (2x, 1 marketplace)
63 (marketplace)
44 may look like an outlier, but according to the screenshot of B/Os in Sale 2, there were a bunch of recent listings for significantly less than 60. Going to take a wide range here.
Going to restrict the high-end to the seller at 62 keys.
Taking 44-62 keys.
2 more marketpalce sales at $120
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31461;5;u342
https://backpack.tf/item/15957883427 - September 6th, couldn't find the other
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:
$1.82, September 2nd
$1.80, September 6th
120/1.82 = 65.934, rounds to 66 keys
128/1.8 = 71.111, rounds to 71 keys
Only other trade is untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198889131331#!/compare/1756425600/1756598400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199073805105#!/compare/1756512000/1756598400
https://backpack.tf/item/14933077462
Untraceable
Sale 7 - mine to loz was 44 keys as a quicksell, I can provide screenshots if needed
My purchase of this hat was for 54 Keys Pure, which still fits into this range. Figured I should add this.
https://i.imgur.com/85B0AcF.png
https://backpack.tf/item/14933077462
aye, thanks, that helps out
A new mp.tf sale at $120 on 9/27
Keys were $1.89 on mp.tf at the time, so the sale would just barely round up to 64 keys
Given there are three newer sales that are 66, 71, and 64 keys respectively, IMO this should be resuggested with a new low-end, considering 44 is close to buy orders and is probably just an outlier. We are fortunate that Crust has a 54 key purchase, since that can be used to give a more accurate low-end instead
i strongly disagree. the higher sales are barely hanging on considering the sellers at 60 and 65 still haven't sold, and the sale at 54 helps cement the fact that 44 isn't an outlier. we also have another purchase likely around 44 keys, with #2 being an untraceable bot purchase. we shouldn't be excluding sales solely due to proximity to buy orders either.
Okay, im convinced.