Sale 1:

Sold for 189 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1754438400/1754524800 - Near ID: 16016358541

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349801204#!/compare/1754438400/1754524800

https://backpack.tf/item/4121213978

= 189 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 185 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174890191#!/compare/1755648000/1756512000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120771704#!/compare/1598832000/1755993600

https://backpack.tf/item/7413151108

= 185 keys

Sale 3:

Most likely sold for 163 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199870690660#!/compare/1754784000/1754870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174890191#!/compare/1754697600/1754956800

https://backpack.tf/item/7413151108

= 163 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30623;5;u10

https://backpack.tf/item/4235477189

$420, July 1st

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $2

420/2 = 210

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1749600000/1749686400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115841780#!/compare/1749254400/1749686400

https://backpack.tf/item/14050009681

Bulk for Atomic Captain Space Mann

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115841780#!/compare/1750723200/1750809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1750636800/1750809600

https://backpack.tf/item/14050009681

Bulk for Bonzo Reggaelator

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1750636800/1750809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1750723200/1750809600

https://backpack.tf/item/14050009681

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106511423#!/compare/1754524800/1754611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367892937#!/compare/1754524800/1754611200

https://backpack.tf/item/7413151108

Bulk for Nebula Universal Translator

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367892937#!/compare/1754784000/1754870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199870690660#!/compare/1754784000/1754870400

https://backpack.tf/item/7413151108

Anti-Freeze Brigade Helm matches, but there’s no way it was just a plain 1:1 trade.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055405516#!/compare/1751068800/1751155200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040965652#!/compare/1750982400/1751068800

https://backpack.tf/item/4235477189

Untraceable, keys match with the hat. Next in history is a marketplace sale.

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057234941#!/compare/1751414400/1755993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231709968#!/compare/1755216000/1755302400

https://backpack.tf/item/4145549572

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231709968#!/compare/1755302400/1755388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380634252#!/compare/1755216000/1755302400

https://backpack.tf/item/4145549572

Untraceable, bulk-ish

https://backpack.tf/item/5161394093 - marketplace

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/cZQP2O1.png

https://backpack.tf/item/4137505725 - 200 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13202544537 - 200 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4145549572 - 201 keys/$361.11

https://backpack.tf/item/5161394093 - $361.11

https://i.imgur.com/vLfi9TF.png - buyers at ~165 keys (top one is spelled)

Sales at:

163

185

189

210 (marketplace)

With 3 sellers at ~200, 210 is gonna be too high. Excluding 210.

Buyers at 165, 163 isn’t a common trading point. Excluding 163.

Taking 185-189.