Cat WITH a hat.

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/7325338658

Sale 1: Sold for a Strange Hot Festivized Professional Killstreak Spirit of Halloween Tomislav (Field-Tested), an Electrostatic Law, a Purple Energy Fleet Commander, an Orbiting Fire Herald's Helm, a Cloudy Moon Gentleman's Ushanka, a Vicious Vortex A Hat to Kill For, and a Tesla Coil Texas Slim's Dome Shine

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1752364800/1752451200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198406138209#!/compare/1752364800/1752451200

Strange Hot Festivized Professional Killstreak Spirit of Halloween Tomislav (Field-Tested) is first up. No sales on marketplace, no others to be used, the only tangible movement we have is what it was acquired for by Ctzn in early June, which does it make it slightly out of date, but it's a more approximate valuation:

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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/7303321137

Sale 1: 90k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198406138209#!/compare/1748736000/1748822400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097373462#!/compare/1747785600/1748736000

Seems better to take this at a slightly outdated 90k than 55k generic buyers (especially for how long war paints take to move). Taking 90k for this.

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Electrostatic Law is in-date at 100 keys.

Purple Energy Fleet commander open suggestion can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68cde545718649c5fc080b80

Taking 72 keys.

Orbiting Fire Herald's Helm is 5 days out of date, and is currently not priceable. Micro can be found below.

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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/15915424806

Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128012200#!/compare/1752364800/1752624000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198934156457#!/compare/1751155200/1752537600

Sale 2: Bot dump for 48k, 23.55 ref (outbound keys have history with seller)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100906514#!/compare/1752624000/1752710400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198934156457#!/compare/1752624000/1752710400

Sale 3: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100906514#!/compare/1752883200/1752969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1752883200/1752969600

Sale 4: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1754179200/1754265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044637366#!/compare/1754179200/1754265600

Sale 5: Bulk/dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044637366#!/compare/1754265600/1754352000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1754265600/1754352000

Sale 6: Untrace, keys go to a Quicksell.store bot, but no shared history

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198835041202#!/compare/1755993600/1756080000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1755993600/1756080000

Sale 7: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198835041202#!/compare/1757203200/1757376000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1757203200/1757289600

Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/uQWTbHn

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Options consist of taking the 65 keys 5 days out-of-date, or buyers in-date. Given the large sum of keys, and (relative to the sum) small difference, it's unlikely to change the rounding factor, so taking buyers at 51.52k.

Cloudy Moon Gentleman's Ushanka is in-date at 389.5k keys.

Vicious Vortex A Hat to Kill For only has one other movement that could make it priceable, here:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150163450#!/compare/1751673600/1751760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198406138209#!/compare/1751673600/1751760000

Interestingly, none of the keys outgoing from Ctzn are to Warmvy, nor are Warmvy's incoming from Ctzn, but both are from an STN bot. Seems like it was dumped to STN and picked up by Ctzn same day, with about 69 keys 42.77 ref going to Warmvy for the dump, and Ctzn seemingly paying 76 keys, 39 ref.

Additional compare for the STN bot below:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1751673600/1751760000

Full mini can be found here, info was pasted here due to it's semi-speculative nature: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68ce217336060a0a2300208e

Taking this for 73.5 keys.

Lastly, the Tesla Coil Texas Slim's Dome micro:

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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/5237518560

Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199048137602#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

Sale 2: Picked up same day from bot, also untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198406138209#!/compare/1750464000/1750550400

Sale 3 is the above sale.

Sale 4: Sold alongside a Brain Drain Lil' Bitey for a Blades of Betrayal Mean Captain, a Amaranthine Frickin' Sweet Ninja Hood, and a Morning Glory Coldsnap Cap

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1755907200/1755993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082869766#!/compare/1755993600/1756080000

Given that, for whatever reason, the buyer here decided to pay 1035 keys in buyers for two items with listed at 500k and 400k, I'm linking the buyers for the three items sold for. Since the Dome is buyout capped at 400k, it's considered bulk here, and the Bitey is buyout capped at 500k, and they received 1035k (in buyers), so taking the Dome at 400k here. Classifieds for all items, and the snapshots for the Dome/Bitey linked below.

https://imgur.com/a/MIdrgis

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Brain%20Drain%20Lil'%20Bitey/68ab80e0c36e06af961622d5

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Tesla%20Coil%20Texas%20Slim's%20Dome%20Shine/68a8a07b6609f9d3df07128a

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Sale 1 total: 90k + 100k + 72k + 51.52k + 389.5k + 400k = 1103.02k

Sale 2: Sold 1:1 for a Hellfire Valley Forge

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198406138209#!/compare/1758153600/1758240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840987606#!/compare/1758067200/1758153600

It does seem to sell here for 1025 keys, but this is actually the Hellfire Valley Forge selling here, 3rd compare below shows this sale:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115841780#!/compare/1758153600/1758240000

Cat goes from Ctzn > Chman, Valley Forge goes from Chman > Ctzn, who sells it same-day for 1025. Valley forge history shows this movement as well:

https://backpack.tf/item/2032142873

Also have a supplementary screenshot as proof just in case: https://imgur.com/a/AYNQgtm

Obviously it needs its own mini, which can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68cde30249d3bc28bf01deae

Taking 1000 keys for Sale 2.

Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/sPURLT9

Sales at 1000k and 1100k, taking these values for the low and high values.