Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31335;5;u271

https://backpack.tf/item/12464467383

mp.tf sale on 7/19/25

$17.04 / $2.01 = 8.48

Rounding to 8.5

Sale #2 (unusable)

https://backpack.tf/item/15497344773

7 keys 49.66 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1753660800/1753833600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066993011#!/compare/1752883200/1753833600

Looks like a bulk sale, also not individually traceable. Taking STN sell order

Rounding to 8

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/15497344773

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1753747200/1753833600

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/13079493171

7 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350497984#!/compare/1750377600/1751414400 (ID: 15893367080)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1751328000/1751414400

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/13075721677

8 keys 30 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1755993600/1756080000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050490694#!/compare/1756080000/1756166400

Rounding to 8.5

Sale #6 (unusable)

https://backpack.tf/item/13045042453

Unknown bulk for a Gravelly Ghoul A Handsome Handy Thing. STN values the bulb at 7 keys 43.55 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352414496#!/compare/1741651200/1756080000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1752537600/1752710400

Rounding to 7.5

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/13045042453

7 keys ~50 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1753920000/1754006400 (ID: 15993211268)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076218381#!/compare/1753401600/1754006400

Rounding to 8

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/13045042453

Sold with ~4 keys for a Purple Confetti Climbing Commander (13)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076218381#!/compare/1754092800/1754265600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1754092800/1754265600

13 - 4 = 9

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Climbing Commander mini

https://backpack.tf/item/15676569228

Same buyer resold it for a strange decorated veteran (13)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076218381#!/compare/1754265600/1754438400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415819531#!/compare/1752969600/1754438400

glad.tf sales for veteran at 12, 11.5, 14, and 20

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Decorated%20Veteran&at=2025-09-21T15:56:17.513Z

20 is countered by sellers. 11.5 is lower than current buyers. Taking 12-14

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Sale #9 (unusable)

https://backpack.tf/item/13045042453

Bulk for a peace sign head bouncer

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1754265600/1754352000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199588181641#!/compare/1753228800/1754438400

Can't see what went where. Taking sell orders at 8

Sale #10 (unusable)

https://backpack.tf/item/13045042453

Redumped to STN

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199588181641#!/compare/1754352000/1754438400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1754352000/1754438400

Can't trace full sale. STN pays 7.5

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/13045042453

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128968043#!/compare/1754179200/1755820800

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/13045042453

Bulk?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128968043#!/compare/1756252800/1757376000

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/13045042453

7.39 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827016484#!/compare/1753747200/1756512000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1756425600/1756512000

Bp.tf snapshot showing what scrappyardbot was paying: https://imgur.com/a/Xz1grhQ

Rounding to 7.5

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/12652125417

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1752105600/1752624000

Current sellers:

$16.99 on mp.tf

$17.55 on mp.tf

8.57 keys on bp.tf (3x)

$20.24 on bp.tf

$34.50 on bp.tf

Sales: 8.5, 8 (unusable), 7, 8.5, 7.5 (unusable), 8, 9, 8 (unusable), 7.5 (unusable), 7.5

Buyers at 7.81 so I will ignore the singular 7 key sale. The 9 key sale was an overpay outlier.

Final price: 7.5 - 8.5