Item 1:

[u]Minis

Pumpkin Moon Hat Outta Hell

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Pumpkin%20Moon%20Hat%20Outta%20Hell&at=2025-09-24T11:16:33.262Z

Sold for 167 keys 41.77 ref @ 15/08/2025

https://backpack.tf/item/15924129964

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199236209421#!/compare/1755129600/1755216000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199561507266#!/compare/1755129600/1755216000

Rounding this sale to 168

Bought for 152 keys 44.11 ref @ 21/08/2025

https://backpack.tf/item/16074862652

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412759781#!/compare/1755561600/1756080000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125108615#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400

Rounding this sale to 153

155 keys 4 ref @ 26/07/2025

https://backpack.tf/item/15971497359

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061108167#!/compare/1753401600/1753488000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1753401600/1753488000

Rounding this sale to 155

151 keys 46 ref @ 12/07/2025

https://backpack.tf/item/15924129964 - Movement between two bots

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31216;5;u201

Sold for $329.99 on the 5th and 21st of July, 7th of August and 1st, 7th and 22nd of September

Keys were as follows:

5th of July - $2.02 = 163

21st of July - $2.01 = 164

7th of August - $1.87 = 176

1st of September - $1.8 = 183

7th of September - $1.8 = 183

22nd of September - $1.9 = 174

Sales:

152, 153, 155, 163, 164, 168, 174, 176, 183, 183

152 - 183

Both ends seem a low and high however should be fine for this mini for a fairly good estimate

168

Scorching Flames Crone's Dome:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68d2613c383e18821f044a09

Power Surge Killer Exclusive:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6823901c1ca1710eae015fcb

No recent sales, suggestion is only 4 months old so taking that price

Golden Pan

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68bccde6f7aef04cd5020147

Blizzardy Storm Killer Exclusive:

Sales 1, 2 and 3:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/538;5;u30

Sold on the 7th of July, 12th of August and 8th of September for $189.99

Keys were as follows on said days:

7th - $2.02 (189.99/2.20) = 94

12th - $1.82 (189.99/1.82) = 104

8th - $1.83 (189.99/1.83) = 103

These seem very high.

Another sale:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1753574400/1753660800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140155290#!/compare/1753660800/1753747200

Sold for 78 keys pure (ID 15979878648) + Smoking Antarctic Eyewear (~17 based on seller)

This sale comes to roughly 95 keys.

However there is a seller for 85 keys - https://imgur.com/a/I46Y5zy

Buyers are at 80 anyway, so the difference for this mini in the grand scheme isn't much.

Going with 85

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sellers:

BPTF - None

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30140;5;u63 - None

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Phosphorous+Virtual+Viewfinder - None

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Virtual%20Viewfinder - None

Sale(s):

5706

Rounding down to 5700

Going with 5700 Keys flat