Sold to a bot for 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199499015015#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199536459741#!/compare/1753315200/1753401600

https://backpack.tf/item/13407419811

= 3 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31347;5;u3183

https://backpack.tf/item/13407419811 - August 14th, re-sold to STN

https://backpack.tf/item/14607767334 - September 19th

$9.99, August 14th & September 19th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.82, August 14th

$1.88, September 19th

9.99/1.82 = 5.489, rounds to 5.5 keys

9.99/1.88 = 5.314, rounds to 5.3 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375#!/compare/1756944000/1757721600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191137318#!/compare/1757203200/1757289600

https://backpack.tf/item/15059818233

Untraceable, likely bulk. Wasn’t a marketplace purchase.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198991413096#!/compare/1755820800/1756080000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199832495682#!/compare/1755043200/1755820800

https://backpack.tf/item/14776481025

Backpack transfer, or scammed or something

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199832495682#!/compare/1755820800/1755907200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199113899944#!/compare/1755734400/1755820800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Heavy%20Rain%20Taunt:%20Star-Spangled%20Strategy&at=2025-09-25T03:37:02.615Z - labelled as 2 keys + 15 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14776481025

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1752019200/1752105600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161646859#!/compare/1754956800/1755129600

https://backpack.tf/item/14607767334

SCM, untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161646859#!/compare/1757030400/1757203200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123789684#!/compare/1757203200/1757289600

https://backpack.tf/item/14607767334

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1754092800/1754179200 - Near ID: 16001782838

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257026546#!/compare/1754092800/1754438400

https://backpack.tf/item/14237561265

Untraceable, 1 key and a cosmetic match

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053758441#!/compare/1753228800/1753315200 - Near ID: 15963008288

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199499015015#!/compare/1753228800/1753315200

https://backpack.tf/item/13407419811

Untraceable, 2 keys match. Buyer sold the war paint on their end and used some keys from that to buy the taunt. Trade is mixed with another one, so a bunch of other keys match too. Not sure if the metal was used or not.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199236396310#!/compare/1757030400/1757289600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1757203200/1757289600

https://backpack.tf/item/13407419811

Bulk to STN, follows the 5.5 key marketplace purchase

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1757289600/1757376000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199236396310#!/compare/1757289600/1758412800

https://backpack.tf/item/13407419811

Untraceable, bought back from STN.

No current sellers.

Sales at:

3

5.3 (marketplace)

5.5 (marketplace)

5.5 re-sold back to STN, and was bought back by the same user immediately after. Those sales are too weird to be including. Excluding 5.5.

Sale at 3 may have gone to a bot, but we have only 1 valid sale higher, and there are other likely purchases at or below 3 (#3, #7-9). Keeping 3 in the range.

Average price of the low and high end is below 5 keys, so we round to the nearest 0.05 here.

Taking 3-5.3 keys.