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Few sales
Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/11925429020
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199195033718#!/compare/1758240000/1758412800
Sale at 11 keys
Marketplace.tf sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31262;5;u34
Sale on July 28th for $22.00 / $1.94 = 11.34 rounding down to 11 keys.
Sale on August 6th for $22.00 / $1.89 = 11.64 rounding up to 12 keys.
https://backpack.tf/item/12022088793 (one history found)
Taking 11 - 12.