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Sale 1:
Sold for $280 USD on Marketplace.tf (Oct 3, 2025)
→ Marketplace key price that week ≈ $1.90 per key
→ ≈147 keys pure value
Proof:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30122;5;u10
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
Sale 2:
Sold for 121 keys + 30 ref (~122 keys pure) on Oct 12, 2025
Proof:
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209316908#!/compare/1760140800/1760227200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255667024#!/compare/1760140800/1760227200
Sale 3:
Sold for 118 keys pure
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1760054400/1760140800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209316908#!/compare/1760140800/1760227200
Proposed range: 118 – 147 keys
Rationale:
• Two recent pure sales within 10 days, both verified.
• Marketplace sale gives strong upper end (pure cash conversion).
• No outliers or quicksales detected.