love this effect it's trader main bait and i took the trader main bait god dammit

https://backpack.tf/item/14615763699

-Bulk for knifestorm l’inspecteur: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720#!/compare/1756857600/1756944000 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164414265#!/compare/1756857600/1756944000

https://backpack.tf/item/14472687537

Traded amongst qsstore bots

https://backpack.tf/item/13953171941

-Traded to alt it looks like: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138146509#!/compare/1759276800/1759449600 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199849397530#!/compare/1759449600/1759881600

-Bulk/traded to alt: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199849397530#!/compare/1759449600/1759881600 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199832377712#!/compare/1759449600/1759536000

-Bulk: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199832377712#!/compare/1759536000/1759708800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199176959513#!/compare/1759536000/1759708800

-~15 keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199176959513#!/compare/1759536000/1759708800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111664710#!/compare/1759622400/1759708800

-~15 keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111664710#!/compare/1759708800/1759795200 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1759708800/1759795200

https://backpack.tf/item/13892196162

-Untraceable: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147386296#!/compare/1759881600/1761264000 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1759795200/1759881600

https://backpack.tf/item/14217435613

-Bulk: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050444933#!/compare/1739923200/1755561600 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1755475200/1755648000

-Untraceable: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104140544#!/compare/1746230400/1758758400

https://backpack.tf/item/14260650895

-~16 keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1759190400/1759276800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198101201880#!/compare/1759276800/1759449600

https://backpack.tf/item/14447717440

-Bot withdrawal: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060189392#!/compare/1760486400/1760572800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199550140308#!/compare/1758326400/1760572800

-Looks like it was transferred to an alt: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199550140308#!/compare/1760572800/1761091200 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051587140#!/compare/1759536000/1760572800

-Redeposited to bot: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051587140#!/compare/1760572800/1761436800 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060189392#!/compare/1760486400/1760572800

-~15 keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060189392#!/compare/1761264000/1761350400 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1761264000/1761350400

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31432;5;u312

Only one history found sadly

https://backpack.tf/item/14615763699

Sep 6

39.95 / 1.806 (keyprice using sale date as median of 5 days) = ~22 keys

Sep 30

40 / 1.9 (keyprice using sale date as median of 5 days) = ~21 keys

Oct 11

40 / 1.894 (keyprice using sale date as median of 5 days = ~21 keys

I reckon we take 15-22 for the more conservative drop here. One of the lists at 16 hasn't been around for that long and this hat has proven it can do bigger numbers on cash sites.