Sale 1:

Sold for 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1755993600/1756080000 - Near ID: 16092407418

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199178575310#!/compare/1756080000/1758931200

https://backpack.tf/item/15607145731

= 11 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 9 keys + more than half a key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198284213874#!/compare/1756598400/1759881600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538198279#!/compare/1756857600/1757289600

https://backpack.tf/item/13968621717

= 10 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31434;5;u309

$21.99, August 1st

Couldn’t find the history

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.90 August 2nd (couldn’t see 1st

21.99/1.9 = 11.574, rounds to 12 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1760313600/1760400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129510467#!/compare/1760313600/1760400000

https://backpack.tf/item/14655896510

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199114880116#!/compare/1736467200/1756425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054159742#!/compare/1758326400/1758412800

https://backpack.tf/item/14647401336

SCM, transferred accounts afterwards

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175726383#!/compare/1754611200/1757635200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273405526#!/compare/1756944000/1757289600

https://backpack.tf/item/14261751714

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199063749524#!/compare/1757030400/1757376000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1756944000/1757030400

https://backpack.tf/item/14137581227

Untraceable, unscanned prior

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026790233#!/compare/1749859200/1755043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1754956800/1755043200

https://backpack.tf/item/13926462019

Bulk for keys

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095774702#!/compare/1760745600/1761177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1760659200/1760745600

https://backpack.tf/item/13890090734

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/15647382383 - transferred accounts

https://backpack.tf/item/13937213688 - marketplace

Sellers/Buyers:

https://i.imgur.com/g6Mesgh.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13926462019 - ~10.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13890090734 - ~10.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/15647382383 - 11 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13908864607 - 25 keys

Highest buyer at ~8 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31434;5;u309

https://backpack.tf/item/13937213688 - $20.89 (~11.1 keys at $1.88 per key)

https://backpack.tf/item/14303117335 - $20.89

https://backpack.tf/item/13925026141 - $21.99

https://backpack.tf/item/13968621717 - $21.99

https://backpack.tf/item/13954098305 - $21.99

https://backpack.tf/item/14127375961 - $21.99

Sales at:

10

11

12 (marketplace)

12 is gonna be too high with current sellers, including marketplace sellers. Excluding 12.

Taking 10-11 keys.