Sale 1:

Sold for 18 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1755907200/1755993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983009687#!/compare/1743292800/1756425600

https://backpack.tf/item/14530277177

= 18 keys

Sale 2:

Sold with negligible metal for 17 keys (Buyer’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1758412800/1758499200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199215748094#!/compare/1758326400/1758499200

https://backpack.tf/item/14358088185

= 17 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1758412800/1758499200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199215748094#!/compare/1758326400/1758499200

https://backpack.tf/item/13951745725

= 17 keys

Sale 4:

Sold for 17 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046064612#!/compare/1758240000/1758326400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146163885#!/compare/1758326400/1759190400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Icestruck%20Impact%20Impaler&at=2025-10-30T04:23:18.428Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/13894156555

= 17 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31432;5;u309

https://backpack.tf/item/15766022200 - September 1st

https://backpack.tf/item/14668574503 - September 19th, couldn’t find the others

$39.99, August 19th & September 1st

$60, September 19th

$33.84, October 24th & 27th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.83, August 19th & October 27th

$1.80, September 1st

$1.88, September 19th

$1.84, October 24th

39.99/1.83 = 21.852, rounds to 22 keys

39.99/1.8 = 22.217, rounds to 22 keys

60/1.88 = 31.915, rounds to 32 keys

33.84/1.84 = 18.391, rounds to 18 keys

33.84/1.83 = 18.492, rounds to 18 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053318153#!/compare/1756512000/1756598400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1756598400/1756684800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Icestruck%20Impact%20Impaler&at=2025-10-30T04:23:18.428Z - Labelled as 17 keys + 34.44 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/15766022200

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152629971#!/compare/1757721600/1757808000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199867370873#!/compare/1757721600/1757808000

https://backpack.tf/item/15558653068

Most likely scammed

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143715421#!/compare/1757808000/1757980800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100906514#!/compare/1757808000/1757894400

https://backpack.tf/item/15558653068

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983009687#!/compare/1757548800/1761782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1761177600/1761264000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Icestruck%20Impact%20Impaler&at=2025-10-30T04:23:18.428Z - labelled as 15 keys + 12.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14530277177

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143715421#!/compare/1757030400/1757116800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1757030400/1757116800

https://backpack.tf/item/14358088185

Untraceable, half a key in metal matches

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1754092800/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199046064612#!/compare/1754092800/1754179200

https://backpack.tf/item/13894156555

Bulk/untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197968959794#!/compare/1758672000/1759708800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1758844800/1758931200

https://backpack.tf/item/13888092872

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068155455#!/compare/1757721600/1758326400 - no good compare

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199235704407#!/compare/1756425600/1756512000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Icestruck%20Impact%20Impaler&at=2025-10-30T04:23:18.428Z - labelled as 17 keys + 31.88 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/16330091106

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199873020476#!/compare/1760918400/1761004800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132665029#!/compare/1760918400/1761004800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Icestruck%20Impact%20Impaler&at=2025-10-30T04:23:18.428Z - labelled as 15 keys + 9.88 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/16319710560

Untraceable, account is a scammer alt/fence anyway. Trades prior to this are scams.

https://backpack.tf/item/14665242505 - no real sales, all appear to be transfers or something

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/dZcgGGR.png

https://backpack.tf/item/13888092872 - ~16.85 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14665242505 - 22 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31432;5;u309

https://backpack.tf/item/14950854931 - $33.84

https://backpack.tf/item/14358088185 - $44.99

https://backpack.tf/item/15558653068 - $44.99

Sales at:

17 (3x)

18 (3x, 2 marketplace)

22 (2x, marketplace)

32 (marketplace)

32 is a large outlier, excluding.

Given the large amount of untraceable purchases at ~15 keys according to Gladiator.tf, I will be excluding 22 here as well. If any of them were traceable, I’d include 15 in the range and give this a wide range of 15-22, so this will help balance things out here.

Taking 17-18 keys.