Price Suggestion
~57.5 keys
lost signal
Unusual Taunt: Mannrobics Lost Signal
43 votes up
2 votes down
Advertisement

This suggestion was accepted by Eazy Peazy Squeezy Lemons.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

Oh boy, I sure can't wait to see how many of these have moved!


Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/16012884422


Sale 1: Untrace, no incoming key bundles from Java, checked a sample of outgoing and found none going to STN bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1757548800/1757635200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059509731#!/compare/1757548800/1757635200


Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/15988332146


Sale 1: Incomplete, looks like 26k connect, but due to the amount of time in seller's inventory, some were spent (presumably on the GFetti Shako). Counting outbound from buyer seems like 35k were share a history, but this is still below buyers.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199091006734#!/compare/1755216000/1756252800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094365132#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400


Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/15987725862


Sale 1: Untrace, nothing of value obtained by seller

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169883389#!/compare/1761782400/1761868800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211445756#!/compare/1761782400/1761868800


Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/15909155531


Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826739513#!/compare/1754524800/1756252800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872222015#!/compare/1755993600/1756080000


Sale 2 (and Sale 2.5?): Okay, so this one is fun. It looks like this was actually traded to Italy for 50 keys (you can see 50 keys incoming from Italy to the seller's inventory, with nothing going out besides the taunt), and nothing goes to the buyer (on 8/25 > 8/26). Then the item doesn't appear in the buyer's inventory until 9/8 > 9/9, also coming from Italy, in exchange for a Death's Daggers Sky High Fly Guy.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872222015#!/compare/1756080000/1756166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198391942981#!/compare/1757289600/1757376000

Counting the movement from Volx to Italy as Sale 2 for 50k, and the sale from Italy to Dope for the value of the the Daggers Fly Guy for Sale... 2.5?


Open suggestion for the DD SHFG can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6904c49871d37f88dd074c3a

Taking 63.5k for this sale.


Sale 3: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198391942981#!/compare/1758672000/1758758400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200970331#!/compare/1758585600/1758758400


Sale 4: 64k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200970331#!/compare/1759276800/1759449600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022776135#!/compare/1759363200/1759449600


Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/15461144430


Sale 1: 58k pure (58k bundle from buyer on seller's side)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1757894400/1757980800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150382528#!/compare/1757808000/1757980800


Item 6: https://backpack.tf/item/14645508746


Sale 1: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199000866657#!/compare/1756771200/1756857600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1756771200/1756857600


Sale 2 is the marketplace sale on Oct 6th, below.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199387798357#!/compare/1759708800/1759968000


Item 7: https://backpack.tf/item/14284781757


Sale 1: Untrace, checked MannCo and saw no sales history

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199490580844#!/compare/1753315200/1754611200


Item 8: https://backpack.tf/item/13943674328


Sale 1: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159922848#!/compare/1758412800/1759708800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262585528#!/compare/1759536000/1759708800


Item 9: https://backpack.tf/item/13428726547


Movement from Lean is still non-unusual, excluded.


Sale 1: STN dump, untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198942323359#!/compare/1757030400/1757116800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1757030400/1757116800


Sale 2: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199237594600#!/compare/1755993600/1757635200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1757116800/1757203200


Sale 3: Untrace redump to STN

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199237594600#!/compare/1759881600/1760572800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1760140800/1760227200


Sale 4: Untrace STN pickup

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1760140800/1760227200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199542079459#!/compare/1760227200/1760313600


Put on Scrap.tf for auction/storage, withdrawn.


Sale 5: 65k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199542079459#!/compare/1760400000/1760486400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037927045#!/compare/1760400000/1760486400


Item 10: https://backpack.tf/item/13347392339


Sale 1: Looks to have been 1:1'd for a Cool Killstreak Dovetailed Medi Gun (Field-Tested) with ThaBoy before selling the Medi Gun to Wilson for 2 hats.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1760918400/1761091200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199020247849#!/compare/1761004800/1761091200

Medi history: https://backpack.tf/item/8949074612


For simplicity, microing this at the what the Medi was sold for same day, which is a Frantic Spooker Beanie the All-Gnawing, and a Tesla Coil Cranial Carcharodon.


Frantic Spooker Beanie the All-Gnawing has an open suggestion here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68ff715c4c602320ed045d9d (Thank you Emeli)

Taking 12 keys.


Microing the Tesla Coil Cranial Carcharodon at buyers of 33.9 keys. Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/tNQNztE


Total for Sale 1 is 33.9k + 12k, for 45.9k total.


Item 11: https://backpack.tf/item/8833729893


Sale 1: Picked up off STN for 29 keys, a Summer Wave Taunt: Mannrobics, and a Lost Signal Taunt: Roar O'War.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070980833#!/compare/1759104000/1759190400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1759104000/1759190400


Microing these would put this below buyers, so excluding.


Sale 2: Dumped back to STN, untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070980833#!/compare/1759795200/1759968000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1759881600/1759968000


Sale 3: Untrace STN pickup

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1759968000/1760054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1759968000/1760054400


Item 12: https://backpack.tf/item/7520058181


Sale 1 is the marketplace sale on Aug 23rd, listed below.


Item 13: https://backpack.tf/item/6014443553


Sale 1: 50k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095024090#!/compare/1759968000/1761868800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074455967#!/compare/1760918400/1761091200


Item 14: https://backpack.tf/item/4615303302


This had an SCM sale presumably, but I can't see any exceptionally high sales in the dates it left their inventory or entered the buyers as an untradable. Could've also been done by the buyer and then marked as untradable due to the unusualifier. Either way, it's been checked, but is untrace/unusable.


Item 15: https://backpack.tf/item/4603329107


All movements seem to be bot withdrawals/deposits.


Item 16: https://backpack.tf/item/4449521568


Unusualified by Lancer.


Date mismatch occurs due to Lancer having dumped the taunt to Italy for 40 keys, who then traded it for the Lost Signal Bear Hug with no inventory history.

https://imgur.com/a/iOrvV2a


This sale would be excluded anyways for being at buyers, but worth noting for the mismatch and history discrepancy.


Sale 1: 1:1'd for a Lost Signal Bear Hug

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094295091#!/compare/1754956800/1755043200


Microing this at buyers for a supportive sale. Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/7qYULyD


Taking 53 keys for Sale 1.


Item 17: https://backpack.tf/item/4408689724


All movements are untrace due to large backpack history discrepancies, seems like it doesn't appear unusual until Fowl's, so either done by them, or untrace.


Marketplace sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1162;5;u3200

Sold on Aug 23rd for $179.99, and Oct 6th for $147.99

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Keys on these dates are $1.84 for Aug 23rd, and $1.90 Oct 6th.

Aug 23rd: $179.99 / $1.84 = 97.82k

Oct 6th: $147.99 / $1.90 = 77.89k


Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/cUFRj8r

Snapshots link (10/2): https://imgur.com/a/lFO74z5

Attaching a screenshot to show the volume of bot buy orders earlier in the month, just as a supportive exclusion of lower sales.


Sales at 45.9k (items/micro'd), 50k, 50k, 53k (supportive/micro'd), 58k, 63.5k, 64k, 65k, 77.89k, 97.82k. Excluding the sale at 45.9k, as this without micro's would likely be at 50k, and fit in the range, and excluding the two high-end marketplace sales as big outliers, and being omitted due to current unsolds at 70k. The remaining sales of 50-65k seem respective to the variety of sales points, as the two sales at 50 and the supportive sale at 53k are making up about a third of the valid movements. Taking 50k for the low end and 65k for the high end.