Suggestion: Lost Signal Taunt: Kazotsky Kick at 85–98 keys

First few movements seem unusualified until Schleepy. No marketplace sale around the time of being removed, and never seen entering/exiting Chatter's inventory.

Sale 1: Untrace STN pickup

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1757635200/1757721600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259110737#!/compare/1757635200/1757721600

Sale 2: Untrace STN dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259110737#!/compare/1758758400/1758844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1758758400/1758844800

Sale 3: Untrace STN pickup

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1758758400/1758844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079790396#!/compare/1758758400/1758844800

Sale 4: Sold for a Blizzardy Storm Minnesota Slick, a Miami Nights Twisted Topper, a Mr. Rostov, a Professional Killstreak L'Etranger Kit Fabricator, and 45 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079790396#!/compare/1759017600/1759104000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143376361#!/compare/1759104000/1759363200

Given that the keys don't share a matching history, will micro these and use as a supportive sale.

Classifieds link for all micros: https://imgur.com/a/hEoW58w

Blizzardy Storm Minnesota Slick: 35.24k

Miami Nights Twisted Topper: 19.08k

Mr. Rostov: 1.35k

Professional Killstreak L'Etranger Kit Fabricator: 24 ref, or .43k using the 56.5 ref key price.

35.24 + 19.08 + 1.35 + .43 + 45 = 101.1k for Sale 4.

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/13364626275

Sale 1 (and Sale 1.5?): 48k pure, this actually went to Italy and was listed on Marketplace, so there's a second sale for this item for either the Aug 6th or Aug 8th sale. This is firsthand as I was negotiating with Ichi and someone else went for less, but he told me about the sale the following day.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175905570#!/compare/1754179200/1754265600

One sale at 48k, and another in the marketplace section below.

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/13133498865

Sale 1: Bulk (sold alongside a Strange Piercing Headache Team Cap)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191090390#!/compare/1755648000/1755820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262585528#!/compare/1755734400/1755820800

Sale 2: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262585528#!/compare/1758931200/1759017600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211445756#!/compare/1758931200/1759017600

Sale 3: 95k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198211445756#!/compare/1759276800/1759363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022776135#!/compare/1759276800/1759363200

Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/8103388908

Sale 1: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045343680#!/compare/1755907200/1755993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053279911#!/compare/1755907200/1755993600

Sale 2: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045343680#!/compare/1755993600/1756080000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164814063#!/compare/1755993600/1756080000

Sale 3: Incomplete, keys don't show up on sellers side and don't have history on buyer's side

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164814063#!/compare/1756425600/1756512000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119193001#!/compare/1756425600/1756512000

Sale 4: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119193001#!/compare/1756598400/1756684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055421322#!/compare/1756598400/1756684800

Sale 5: Bulk, moved to Marketplace same day

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055421322#!/compare/1758412800/1758499200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1758412800/1758499200

Item 6: https://backpack.tf/item/7045169927

Unusualified by Baichi.

Sale 1: Untrace pickup off Scrap, no keys match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078195232#!/compare/1755302400/1755388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135387928#!/compare/1755302400/1755561600

Sale 2: 90k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078195232#!/compare/1758153600/1758240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988411165#!/compare/1758153600/1758240000

Sale 3: Incomplete, only 9 keys incoming

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988411165#!/compare/1758326400/1758412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1758326400/1758412800

Sale 4: Incomplete, presumably it's the 68 key bundle, as the one for 117 was for the Attendant, but no histories match, and there's no outgoing keys on buyer's side

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1758412800/1758499200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159201884#!/compare/1757635200/1759104000

Item 7: https://backpack.tf/item/6794328493

Sale 1: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119828319#!/compare/1760313600/1760400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117384982#!/compare/1760313600/1760400000

Sale 2: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117384982#!/compare/1760400000/1760486400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1760400000/1760486400

Item 8: https://backpack.tf/item/6475141427

Sale 1: Untrace (likely cash sale)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067103238#!/compare/1756598400/1756684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1756598400/1756684800

Further movements seem to be a tradeback.

Item 9: https://backpack.tf/item/3978104193

Sale 1: 59k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198434139208#!/compare/1754438400/1754524800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882886230#!/compare/1754438400/1754524800

Sale 2: Untrace, but based on the date, extremely likely to the Aug 8th marketplace sale.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882886230#!/compare/1754611200/1754697600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117632385#!/compare/1754611200/1754697600

Item 10: https://backpack.tf/item/16105652228

Sale 1: 75k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198237782970#!/compare/1672790400/1757030400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096802308#!/compare/1756944000/1757030400

Sale 2: 85k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096802308#!/compare/1757030400/1757116800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1757030400/1757116800

Item 11: https://backpack.tf/item/16013963887

Sale 1: 60k pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838637314#!/compare/1754956800/1755129600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199189814852#!/compare/1755043200/1755129600

Sale 2: Looks like it sold for 39 keys, but marking as incomplete, as the bot selling for a 21 key loss a week later doesn't make sense.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199189814852#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199082971157#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400

Sale 3 seems to the Sept 20th marketplace sale based on the date Medic obtains it.

Item 12: https://backpack.tf/item/15998965642

Sale 1: Looks like an SCM sale, but since 3 sold on Aug 18th, the price of that specific sale is unknown.

Sale 2: Untrace STN dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199834182862#!/compare/1759795200/1759881600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1759795200/1759881600

Sale 3: Untrace STN pickup

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1759968000/1760054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079790396#!/compare/1759881600/1759968000

Sale 4: Untrace STN dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079790396#!/compare/1760054400/1760140800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1760054400/1760140800

Sale 5: Untrace STN pickup (what a fun pattern we have going here)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1760054400/1760140800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034169519#!/compare/1760054400/1760140800

Item 13: https://backpack.tf/item/15439111552

Sale 1: 90k pure (9k connect on seller's side)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062019586#!/compare/1755561600/1755648000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059509731#!/compare/1755388800/1755561600

Item 14: https://backpack.tf/item/15251982510

Sale 1: 1:1'd for a Infernal Smoke Taunt: Kazotsky Kick (lol)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171082595#!/compare/1758672000/1758758400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1758672000/1758758400

Seeing as even the out of date price for this would make it a massive outlier, I'll micro it at buyer's of 90k and use it as a supportive sale.

Classifieds link for the Infernal Smoke Kick: https://imgur.com/a/prFXzQR

Item 15: https://backpack.tf/item/14318186080

Massive time discrepancy on buyers' side, can't be seen entering/leaving sellers' inventory.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117596823#!/compare/1754611200/1754697600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064405262#!/compare/1729641600/1759017600

Marketplace sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3200

Sold on Aug 6th for $199.99, Aug 8th for $219.99, Sept 20th for $185, and Sept 23rd for $185.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Key prices are $1.89 for Aug 6th, $1.86 for Aug 8th, $1.89 for Sept 20th, and $1.90 for Sept 23rd.

Aug 6th: $199.99 / $1.89 = 105.81k

Aug 8th: $219.99 / $1.86 = 118.27k

Sept 20th: $185 / $1.89 = 97.88k

Sept 23rd: $185 / $1.90 = 97.36k

Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/hnUwdK4

Sales at 48k, 59k, 60k, 67k, 75k, 85k, 87k, 90k, 90k (supportive), 90k, 95k, 97.36k, 97.88k, 101.1k (supportive), 105.81k, and 118.27k.

Sales at 48, 59, 60, 67, and 75 keys are all omitted as being below buyers (76k). The sale at 118.27k is also omitted as being above current unsolds. Given that there's only one sale at the high end of 105.81k and it's older and on marketplace (and how many low-end sales were omitted as this item accrued value), I'll also omit the sale at 105.81k to help balance out the range a bit, but there's two many sales at 95-98k to cut this any further.

Taking 85k as the low end, and 97.88k rounded up to 98k for the high end.