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Marketplace.tf sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31525;5;u376
- September 8th for 79.99$ USD (1.83$ key)
= 43.7103 keys
- Octonber 10th for 69.99$ USD (1.90$ key)
= 36.8368 keys
October 29th sold for 79.99 = 43.71 (keys at 1.83)
But currently keys are at 1.87 that is why i will still stick with 43 keys instead of 44 for the final range.
Sale 1 (septembre 23rd)
https://imgur.com/a/f7Qvfli
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260146543#!/compare/1758499200/1758585600
So this exchange was a Cold Cosmos Undercover Brolly (30.5) + 3 keys pure so 33.5 keys
Reason for the value of the Brolly at 30.5 based on marketplace.tf sales
*Brolly: 4 sales (prices in usd)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31262;5;u243
September 19th
57,99 (key 1.88) so 30.8457 keys
September 22nd
57.99 (key 1.90) so 30.5210 keys
September 23rd
57.99 (key 1.90) so 30.5210 keys
October 7th
57.99 (key 1.90) so 30.5210 keys
Based on these sales, the Brolly in the first trade being valued at ~30.5 keys stays consistent
Relevant information in trying to figure out a range
**Now let's see sale suggestions
Marketplace.tf lists x2 items currently at
79.99$USD both of them (at this time of date 21/10/2025) at 1.88$ key = 42.5478 keys
*** 02/11/2025 keys are at 1.87, so it would be now 42.7754 still rounds up to 43 and points out the outlier of the sale made in September
Backpack.tf has x2 sellers
Listed at 35 keys and another listed at 40 keys.
So its safe to say, that the one sold for on September 7th is a bit higher than the highest value currency listed at (~42.77 keys) and lowest value is easily 33.5 keys.
I really want this to be done correctly and hopefully this satisfies as many people possible.
JUSTIFICATION FOR THE ROUND UPS:
Well in the case of the 43.7 i pointed out its a outlier since it sold for 79.99 at a time keys were 1.83, a compared it to how its listed now at 79.99 still with keys being at 1.87 (02/11/2025)now making the current ratio 42.77 (43) so the round up would be 34-43.
Additional info
https://backpack.tf/item/16389233628 (Untraceable)
Sale 1 (7th of November)
https://backpack.tf/item/16383552692 (sold for pure)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972404012#!/compare/1762473600/1762560000 (sold for 30 keys)
Sale 2 (3rd of September - September 11th)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071938986#!/compare/1756857600/1757548800
StN bot cant find for how much, but they currently sell it at 24 keys 32 ref (25)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198976343646#!/compare/1757030400/1757462400 (untraceable)
(just weird)****
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043834548#!/compare/1754265600/1754784000 (they gave the hat + 25 keys for nothing???)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198431725617#!/compare/1754611200/1754784000(and then got 75 keys + the hat)
https://backpack.tf/item/15969314373 (untraceable)
https://backpack.tf/item/15966531713(from 1 bot to a STN bot, to a user)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198798016614#!/compare/1760054400/1760140800 still untraceable same as Sale 2 maybe where they sold to a bot and then the next user it bought it for 24 keys.
Conclusion, Sale 1 is a very low sale for how this suggestion was created, while currently the cheapest listing is at 69.99$USD, the 30 key sale could be a quick sell but another part of me believes that now after investigating more, the sale was made in pure, and if so then maybe i should close this and remake this
30-43
November 19th, 2025
Marketplace.tf Sale for 69.99 USD with Keys @ 1.81 = 38.6685, ~39
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31525;5;u376
high-end should not be 43 as there have been no sales at that value.
https://ibb.co/Nd9jsyJz
https://backpack.tf/item/15980818262
https://backpack.tf/item/15967747790
https://backpack.tf/item/16030485722
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31525;5;u376
- sellers at $69.99 (39 keys) and 40 keys suggests those sales at 44 are high now
Yeah its been a good while since this was made and the market has shifted, i will close this