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Adding a range to account for available sell orders.
Link to previous submission: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/68bde7ac34d90bc58207fc68
Sale 1:
The hat: https://backpack.tf/item/16047955800
Sell order was listed with a 110 key buyout.
Total trade was Shining Bokeh Checkered Past, Sunbeams Polar Bear, and 10 keys.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245111940#!/compare/1756771200/1757203200
https://imgur.com/a/BuxSQBX
Shining Bokeh Checkered Past had a sale on marketplace.tf for 74.44 USD (74.44/1.8 = 41.36 keys) - aligns closely with high end of last accepted price suggestion. Round to 40 keys.
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Checkered%20Past/Tradable/Craftable/370
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31503;5;u370
Sunbeams Polar Bear's last price evaluation was 60 keys. A sell order exists at 59 keys, and a marketplace.tf listing exists at 114.99 USD (114.99/1.8 = 63.88 keys). Close enough to last known evaluation to consider 60 keys as a valid pricing.
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Polar%20Bear/Tradable/Craftable/17
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30964;5;u17
40 estimate + 60 estimate + 10 keys = 110. This matches the original buyout.
Currently two sell orders exist:
#1:
Hat went with the entire inventory of the previous owner:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323097488#!/compare/1758067200/1758931200
Current owner is selling it on marketplace.tf for $199.99 USD. https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31503;5;u379
Using the backpack.tf pricing as additional input, 199.99/1.87 = 106.9465 -> 106.94 -> 105 keys.
#2:
Currently listed up as of this post at 70 keys, setting the bottom of the range.
Oct 3: https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Overcharged%20Checkered%20Past/68e17f20a44e1129a4057674
Oct 30: https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Overcharged%20Checkered%20Past/69031df62b20d27ab9002ff2
This has been listed at $149.99 on marketplace for over a month, fluctuating between 78-83 keys. With a seller willing to sell this at 70 keys, below the marketplace seller, 110 keys is not going to work in a range here. I'd argue that even if both the marketplace and backpack sellers sold at $149.99 (80k) and 70k pure, I would not include 110 in the range because it is an outlier compared to the two lower sales. Until either of the current sellers successfully sell, I would close this and wait, because the bottom end of your range is not supported by a sale.
Fair enough, makes sense - will leave the past two as records for future people.