Redoing the suggestion as I missed some MP sales and decided to include the 43 key sale in the range

Thank you Bentry Suster for telling me what I missed

Vivid Plasma Hat Outta Hell

4 Marketplace sales https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31216;5;u16

Aug 14, 2025 88.85/1.82(weekly average) ~48.81 keys

Sep 6, 2025 86.99/1.8(weekly average) ~48.32 keys

Sep 16, 2025 89.99/1.84(weekly average) ~48.9 keys

Oct 24, 2025 119.99/1.84(weekly average) ~65.21 keys

3 sales at 48 - 49 keys. 1 sale at 65 keys

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https://backpack.tf/item/15876295604

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1758931200/1759017600

Sold for 45 keys pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199091146962#!/compare/1759017600/1759708800

Shows the unusual entering mike’s inventory, but doesn’t show the keys leaving

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https://backpack.tf/item/15659138852

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1755302400/1755388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1754870400/1754956800

Traded between alts

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021150149#!/compare/1761177600/1761264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1761177600/1761264000

Unable to tell what it sold for

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https://backpack.tf/item/14601890814

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044366339#!/compare/1760313600/1761350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216413309#!/compare/1759449600/1759881600

Bought off of MP

Untraceable in MPTF Bot’s inventory

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https://backpack.tf/item/12844509659

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1755129600/1755216000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085304767#!/compare/1755043200/1755216000

Only shows 2 keys and some ref being sent to STN bot inventory, unusable

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https://backpack.tf/item/11637067644

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216363069#!/compare/1756684800/1757462400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198229929972#!/compare/1756339200/1757116800

Bought off of MP

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198229929972#!/compare/1756339200/1757116800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199509832207#!/compare/1756339200/1757116800

Unable to tell what it sold for

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199509832207#!/compare/1761091200/1761177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1761091200/1761177600

Unable to tell what it sold for

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1761177600/1761264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1761091200/1761264000

Bulk sale

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https://backpack.tf/item/11327218061

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109986831#!/compare/1755907200/1755993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1755907200/1755993600

Unable to tell what it sold for

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109986831#!/compare/1755907200/1755993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1755907200/1755993600

Only shows a few ref being involved, also isn’t shown leaving Malibu’s inventory, unusable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1761696000/1761782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199417129463#!/compare/1761782400/1761955200

Deposited to MP

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060090725#!/compare/1761782400/1762300800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199417129463#!/compare/1761782400/1761955200

Bought off of MP, is not shown leaving MP bot’s inventory

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060090725#!/compare/1762473600/1762560000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199036758852#!/compare/1762387200/1762560000

Appears to have sold for 43 keys pure, but the keys were traded away before they could be scanned in Penis Merchant’s inventory. It looks like they were used to buy an Orbiting Fire Brothers in Blues

1 sale at 43 keys

1 sale at 45 keys

1 sale at 48 keys

2 sales at 49 keys

1 sale at 65 keys

Not going to include the 65 key sale as it is an outlier

Price suggestion will range from 43 - 49 keys

If I have missed anything, please let me know and I will fix as soon as I can :)