Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31536;5;u377

https://backpack.tf/item/15974032758

mp.tf sale on 8/12/25

$63.49 / $1.82 = 34.9

Rounding to 35

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31536;5;u377

https://backpack.tf/item/16001539285

mp.tf sale on 8/22/25

$79.99 / $1.84 = 43.5

Rounding to 44

Sale #3

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31536;5;u377

mp.tf sale on 9/07/25

$79.99 / $1.80 = 44.4

Rounding to 44

Sale #4

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31536;5;u377

mp.tf sale on 9/17/25

$49.95 / $1.84 = 27.1

Rounding to 27

Sale #5

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31536;5;u377

https://backpack.tf/item/16158471440

mp.tf sale on 10/08/25

$51.47 / $1.90 = 27.1

Rounding to 27

Sale #6

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31536;5;u377

https://backpack.tf/item/16064898026

mp.tf sale on 10/25/25

$59.99 / $1.84 = 32.6

Rounding to 33

Sale #7

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31536;5;u377

mp.tf sale on 10/30/25

$55.00 / $1.88 = 29.3

Rounding to 29

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/16179323444

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199166852646#!/compare/1719792000/1758585600

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/16179323444

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882175555#!/compare/1760572800/1760659200

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/16158471440

Sold with a batsaber (in date at 43) for a PE beret (mini at 60)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147254211#!/compare/1761609600/1762300800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1761523200/1761609600

60 - 43 = 17

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beret mini

https://backpack.tf/item/235701262

1:1 for It's a Mystery to Everyone Hellmet

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1756944000/1757030400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067289836#!/compare/1756944000/1757030400

hellmet mini

https://backpack.tf/item/8981103881

60 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1755302400/1755388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198893024063#!/compare/1753488000/1759795200

-----

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/16158471440

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1761868800/1761955200

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/16064898026

15 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274631806#!/compare/1757030400/1757116800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198332539#!/compare/1757030400/1757116800

keys were used to buy a c9 tyrolean from speedy frog. histories align

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/16064898026

21 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199356403786#!/compare/1761523200/1761696000 (ID: 16351477520)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123389475#!/compare/1761523200/1761782400

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/16059779238

stn dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049939271#!/compare/1760918400/1761523200

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/16059779238

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199454189521#!/compare/1761782400/1761868800

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/16033192764

not easily tellable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064012047#!/compare/1755820800/1755907200

Sale #17

https://backpack.tf/item/16033192764

30 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040425824#!/compare/1755820800/1755907200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027544408#!/compare/1755820800/1755907200

Sale #18

https://backpack.tf/item/16033192764

22 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027544408#!/compare/1756857600/1756944000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1756771200/1756857600

Sale #19

https://backpack.tf/item/16033192764

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1756857600/1756944000

Sale #20

https://backpack.tf/item/16033192764

26 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042914844#!/compare/1757203200/1758672000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116184902#!/compare/1757462400/1757980800

Sale #21

https://backpack.tf/item/15976366464

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069747478#!/compare/1755561600/1755648000

Sale #22

https://backpack.tf/item/15976366464

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1757548800/1757635200

Sale #23

https://backpack.tf/item/15970956947

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062295931#!/compare/1756771200/1757376000

Sale #24

https://backpack.tf/item/15967086443

16 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085685000#!/compare/1756944000/1757116800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061128112#!/compare/1756944000/1757116800

strikeout qs to stn, which pays 10 keys. keys used to buy the mann of the hour

Sale #25

https://backpack.tf/item/15965961448

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087659130#!/compare/1754956800/1755043200

Sale #26

https://backpack.tf/item/15965961448

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161953994#!/compare/1757894400/1758153600

Sale #27

https://backpack.tf/item/15965961448

27 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1759276800/1759363200 (ID: 16234302335)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126034844#!/compare/1759190400/1759363200

Sale #28

https://backpack.tf/item/15965961448

stn dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126034844#!/compare/1759536000/1759708800

Sale #29

https://backpack.tf/item/15965961448

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1759968000/1760054400

Current sellers:

$51.00 on SCM

$51.75 on SCM

$73.39 on SCM

$95.00 on SCM

$115.71 on SCM

25 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 35, 44, 44, 27, 27, 33, 29, 17, 15, 21, 30, 22, 26, 16, 27

Calling all sales 29 and above high outliers due to current sellers. Keeping 27 in the range despite beign slightly above current sellers to account for the high sales. STN currently pays 20 keys, so I am gonna call 15, 16, and 17 low outliers.

Final price: 21 - 27