Price Suggestion
~34 keys
fireflies
Unusual Blast Defense Fireflies
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2 votes down
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Comments

Technically indate, but the market has vastly changed.


History #1 - https://backpack.tf/item/13395513867


Sale #1 - sold with 5 for Candle Flame Citizen Cane

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104315166#!/compare/1762041600/1762128000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196622954#!/compare/1761955200/1762214400

https://gyazo.com/95cb48ecaf5e9bbc6c3294c5a829f0c7


https://backpack.tf/item/16359474417

Candle micro - Only 1 sale outside of this being 17 keys and some ref. (buyorder)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199229477354#!/compare/1761868800/1761955200


(17 + 5 = 22 keys) Likely low given the only usable sale on the citizen is a buyorder dump.


Sale #2 - 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199229477354#!/compare/1762732800/1762819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071082937#!/compare/1762732800/1762819200


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History #2 - https://backpack.tf/item/13393951355


Sale #1 - backpack purchase

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091228424#!/compare/1756252800/1756425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1756425600/1756512000


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History #3 - https://backpack.tf/item/13357501710


Sale #1 - 52 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273405526#!/compare/1757721600/1757894400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164721898#!/compare/1757635200/1757721600


Sale #2 - Quicksold to stn for unknown

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164721898#!/compare/1758672000/1758758400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1758672000/1758758400


Sale #3 - Stn sold for unknown (buyer is unlogged and was instantly put on mp.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1758672000/1758758400


Sale #4 - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30863;5;u291

59.99 / (1.85+1.85+1.84+1.83+1.80=9.17=1.834) = 32.70, rounded to 33 keys.


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History #4 - https://backpack.tf/item/13385019189


Sale #1 - Only 17 and some ref connect

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199018492800#!/compare/1760140800/1760313600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1760227200/1760313600


Sale #2 - 38 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1760572800/1760659200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083328505#!/compare/1760659200/1760745600


Sale #3 - Looks to have sold with 18 for a Ancient Specter Blast Defense (indate at 50)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083328505#!/compare/1761004800/1761177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198889131331#!/compare/1761091200/1761177600


Unsure on if the sale is correct given keys go to someone else but nothing is exchanged between any of the 3 users for them, so I will exclude for now for safety.


Sale #4 - Dumped to stn for unknown

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1762214400/1762300800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198889131331#!/compare/1761782400/1762473600


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1 Unknown history linked to 1 mp sale.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30863;5;u291

95 / 1.84 = 51.63 rounded to 52.


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Classi - https://gyazo.com/6bb5a376c5907e88c913f6cd86e1b4a5


Highest buyer at 20.34

Lowest sellers at 100.


Stn - https://gyazo.com/f678f7c150d0d22f1b207ac5acabb057


Unsold for 33.5~ keys.


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Sales being. 22, 30, 52 (quicksold soon after), 52 (About to go outdated), 33, 17 (unlikely complete), 38, 32 (If the sale is indeed correct.)


(Lowest to highest - 17, 22, 30, 32, 33, 38, 52, 52.


Sales after excluding low/high ends that are outliers or quicksold soon after and possibly incorrect.


22, 30, 33, 38, 52


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Excluding 22 as its going based off a buyorder for the majority of its sale.


Excluding 52 and 38 based on the unsold on stn. (I would rather include 38 but open to mods decision on that in the end.)


Taking 30 - 33 range.


    Seems like an extremely harsh drop. I'd support including 38 here since you're excluding so many higher sales (technically 40 would also count as excluded, but i guess that one's outdated now)

      Yeah, I woulda included it if it was indate. Overall the price got inflated from 2 mp sales so its not that extreme. I will resuggest with 30-38.