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Sold for $119.99 on Oct 17 (64 Keys with Keys @ $1.88)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31371%3B5%3Bu376
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
https://backpack.tf/item/16073866131
No other sales in-date
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198828037534#!/compare/1755648000/1755734400
August 20th still withing the 3 month range
1:1 trade
Genus Plasmos Calamitous Cauldron for the Deaths daggers blast bowl
* Mini suggestion for
Genus Plasmos Calamitous Cauldron
https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Calamitous%20Cauldron/Tradable/Craftable/172
Currently listed for ~33 keys,
highest buy orders at 18 keys and 37 ref
Its a 4 of a kind unusual, more research needed on how this hat moved
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107233559#!/compare/1721692800/1722384000 (cant find a accurate trade for the 23rd of July for the item)
More sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/15982133089 (
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045288245#!/compare/1754179200/1754611200 (7th of August 12 keys, out of the 3 month range by 5 days)
Cauldron was dumped to scrapyard for <20 keys four days after, with no other sales, which would put the sale below nfoz's buy order for this hat.
Not sure how you concluded the second sale to be 12 Keys on buyer side when he's receiving them together with the hat, but it's 38 on seller side. Sale is outdated either way https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346894109#!/compare/1754438400/1754524800
Oh I must of missread it, sorry about that, I just wanted to check, but definently the 1:1 trade is a second sale for your suggestion, you do what you want with that.
Your original post said that no other sales, and I tried to help to justify your post, yet at least the second sale happened within range, the item you are price suggesting doesnt have a previous price either, so its starting from scratch in this case.
But alas, you do you, I just wanted to help.
And the unusual used in that trade is currently listed at 33, a mini suggestion might be to hard to do anyways, but your statement have no sales happening within the 3 month range isn't true either.
"Unpriced hats - hats that have never had a proper suggestion or have no price
Two sales are required to establish a range on unpriced hats. If the two sales are discrepant, a third sale is required to determine the outlier."
Exception 2: Rare Hats
Any hat can be priced based on a single sale if ALL these criteria are met:
There are no other recent sales in the last 3 months
If the owner has not resold the hat 1 month after the sale occurred OR the hat went to a collector or person who intends to keep the hat. A collector can be identified by looking at the person's trade history, item history of similar unusuals in the backpack.
The hat is not a new hat / effect (i.e. new Halloween effects during the Halloween event). You must wait until after the event is over to price these based on a single sale.
Market Shifts - timing of buy orders and sales matter: If a sale took place before a buy order was created the seller obviously couldn't just "sell it to the buy order instead".
(The last rule applies to what you imply was a quicksale)