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https://backpack.tf/item/14066593426
-13 keys + ~30 ref = 14 keys (IDs don’t match because buyer repainted before it was scanned): https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1759449600/1759536000 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198275276106#!/compare/1759276800/1759536000
https://backpack.tf/item/14632074044
-Festive Falling Star Covert Covers + 4 keys: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1758240000/1758326400 https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120675046#!/compare/1718755200/1759881600
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31428;5;u56
(history not found) 29.95 / 1.818 on Sep 10 (key price using sale date as median of 5 days) = ~16.47 keys
(https://backpack.tf/item/15569298049) 29.95 / 1.898 on Sep 22 (key price using sale date as median of 5 days) = ~15.78
We will go with 14-16. We have abundant pure and cash sales; there is no need to use the item sale for this reason.