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I would like to update on the price because the suggestion didn't include my trade
Following up from JayTuut previous suggestion:
JayTuut suggested:
"Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/item/16283935693
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068703263#!/compare/1761091200/1761177600 ~ 100 pure matches
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198276210041#!/compare/1761091200/1761177600
Sale #2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176517715#!/compare/1756425600/1761004800 ~ 70 pure matches
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068703263#!/compare/1760918400/1761004800
Sale #3:
https://backpack.tf/item/16293929498
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018301125#!/compare/1761091200/1761004800 ~ 1:1 for a strange shining stag giftcrafter
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999173629#!/compare/1761004800/1761091200
Only sale on that history so checking the other strange one:
https://backpack.tf/item/15174454700
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081667663#!/compare/1754956800/1755043200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199711319#!/compare/1754956800/1755043200 ~ dumped for 35, below buyers on classifieds
Taking 70-100"
My trade that wasn't included:
https://imgur.com/a/bLIafwn
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198276210041#!/compare/1761350400/1761436800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095328347#!/compare/1760745600/1761436800 ~ 230 keys
Taking 70-230
At this point its best to leave it unpriced and wait for the 270 seller, or put it at 100-230 which already is quite a range.
This is too wide of a range, with sales at 70, 100, and 230, 230 is a clear outlier and should be excluded.
Also not mentioning the shining stag hat, which has a seller at 55. Realistically the sales here are more like
35, ~50-55, 70, 100, and 230.
Because 70 and 100 are pure that's fine, but 230 is so obviously not valid here
Calling this a 'clear outlier' is a bit premature, looking at what other all-class toxic swirls are asking and what they're selling for. A brand loyalist with toxic swirl got sold for 152 keys on scrap auctions (and scrap auctions are notoriously bad at paying full price for unusuals). If the 270 seller sells anywhere between 200-270, I'd call the other sales outliers.
The fact that this has four sales that are more than twice as low as 230 makes this the most clear cut outlier i've seen in a while.
This does not need an update. Closing.
Since it's a new effect, it shouldn't be considered an outlier. If anything, this just proves how much the item can go for
230 is way too high and this should be excluded, intolerable lactose.