3 years without a price update

Sale #1

23rd of October, 2025

https://backpack.tf/item/16379838724 (item)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443786692#!/compare/1761177600/1761523200 (seller)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443786692#!/compare/1761177600/1761523200 (sold to Komi bot for 44 keys (buyer))

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Nether%20Trail%20Smokey%20Sombrero/68f9f33391987bd0df0ec34a (komi bot buying for 43.93 keys)

~44

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Sale #2

14th of October,2025. Via STN bot

https://backpack.tf/item/16379838724 (item)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1760313600/1760400000 (50 keys) (seller compare)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198443786692#!/compare/1760313600/1760400000 (buyer compare)

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Nether+Trail+Smokey+Sombrero (current pricing on STN)

They sell the hat now for 47. keys and 44.33 ref (48)

* the group of 50 keys share the same history of going from the buyers hands towards the STN bots inventory

~50

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Sale #3

6th of November, 2025

https://backpack.tf/item/16379838724 (item)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197985538782#!/compare/1762387200/1762473600 (buyer)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1762300800/1762387200 (seller)

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Nether%20Trail%20Smokey%20Sombrero/690c2daf0b8b32e5a002b95d (sale order at 56 keys)

~56

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Sale #4

October 5th, 2025

https://backpack.tf/item/4633245550

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1759536000/1759622400 (seller)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198849876717#!/compare/1759536000/1759622400 (buyer)

Cant find a snapshot of Komi bot sale price.

Cant find a concrete number, snapshots expired in backpack.tf for this on for me to check, i would assume Komi has sold it for 56 keys like other times the bot has had the item

~56

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Sale #5

October 28th, 2025

https://backpack.tf/item/4633245550

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198849876717#!/compare/1761609600/1761782400 (backpack dump)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1761609600/1761782400 (buyer)

untraceable

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Sale #6

10th of October, 2025

https://backpack.tf/item/4451067364(item)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049931219#!/compare/1759795200/1760054400 (seller)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034161075#!/compare/1759968000/1760054400 (buyer)

~44 keys

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Sale #7

Sold on the 5th of October, 2025 for 96.60 USD

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30682;5;u104 (Marketplace.tf sale)

On that day keys were at 1.9. 96.60/1.9 = 50.8421 / ~51 keys

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Sale #8

17th of November, 2025

https://backpack.tf/item/4988702633 (item)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260146543#!/compare/1763251200/1763337600 (buyer)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054945991#!/compare/1763164800/1763337600 (Seller)

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Nether%20Trail%20Smokey%20Sombrero/691a9a00f20412827f0b2e15 (listed at 60 keys)

Trade made via item overpay: Blades of Betrayal Dell Dynamic + Pro kit Tornado/team shine Ubersaw, 72 Killer Joke, Strange Killstreak Torqued to Hell Wrench (FT), Strange Snowflake Swirled shotgun (FN), Strange part Snipers killed and Strange part Headshot Kills

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Mini suggestion on the items used on the trade

* https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Dell%20Dynamic&quality=5&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&particle=374&killstreak_tier=0

The Dell Dynamic currently sits listed at 35 keys (currently unpriced so making a mini for it will be insanely hard)

* https://backpack.tf/stats/Strange/Professional%20Killstreak%20Festive%20Übersaw/Tradable/Craftable

Festive Ubersaw can be valued at the buyout price of 17 keys

* https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Taunt%3A%20Killer%20Joke/Tradable/Craftable/3004

72 killer joke, buyouts at 3.56 keys (~4 keys)

* https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Snowflake%20Swirled%20Shotgun%20%28Factory%20New%29

The shotgun has a buyout of 7.06 USD, ~4keys based on current value at 1.81 USD)

* https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Strange%20Part%A%20Snipers%20Killed/Tradable/Craftable

1.85 keys buy orders. ~2 keys

* https://backpack.tf/classifieds?item=Strange%20Part:%20Headshot%20Kills&quality=6&tradable=1&craftable=1&australium=-1&killstreak_tier=0

Buy orders at 2.16 keys. ~2 keys

* Torqued to Hell wrench is untraceable

To conclude on this sale, i will follow the value based on the listing it had at 60 keys, if the Dell Dynamic moves i will keep a eye out since it will influence any change needed to be made.

44, 44, 50, 51, 56, 56, 60

Low end range 44/ high end 60 keys

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Additional Information

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Nether%20Trail%20Smokey%20Sombrero/691cbc210b4dec4c9f09e140 (snapshot of sale and buyer orders)

2 Sellers at 60 keys and 64 keys, highest buy order at 40 keys, which is the previous low range on this item.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30682;5;u104

Also listed now on marketplace.tf for 93.60USD (51.71 keys based on current backpack value)