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OP suggester hasn't been on for like 2 weeks.
Credit to PlantFoodClock and Mindacos
PlantFoodClock's work:
Item 1:
https://backpack.tf/item/16030030665
Sale 1:
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216071583#!/compare/1761868800/1761955200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199883964865#!/compare/NaN/1761955200
Sale 2:
Bought for ~43 Keys
https://gyazo.com/47ea42a4cee027ffdba0fc4e969a5886
//
Item 2:
https://backpack.tf/item/16077971410
Sale 3:
Sold for 50 Keys
https://backpack.tf/item/15941969770 (Key ID: "16148091801")
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067893369#!/compare/1757203200/1757289600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961465738#!/compare/1757289600/1757376000
Sale 4:
Sold alongside 25 Keys for ??? (maybe unusual war paint?)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961465738#!/compare/1759363200/1759449600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877320307#!/compare/1759363200/1759449600
//
Marketplace.TF Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31356;5;u373
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
Sale 5:
$149.99/$1.81 = 83 Keys (Aug 27)
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/item/16077971410 — likely history?
$149.99/$1.85 = ~81 Keys (Nov 4)
//
Total Sales
43, 50, 81, 83
https://gyazo.com/bd1eae1c57ec92adfe20822bbafd7ac0
Taking 43 — 83 Keys
From Mindacos:
This range can be trimmed down, and in this case it should.
The 43 Key sale sold so fast the stn bot didn't even get traced, which makes me think it's valid enough to call an outlier.
83 doesn't really have a good case to be excluded outside of it's age, but excluding it will make the median closer to this if we use the second lowest sale for the low end.
50-81 will be more appropriate here.