Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/3924358543

Sale 1: Bought from a bot then listed on Mannco.Store, no way of telling who bought it

MPTF : https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1106;5;u3061

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/10741738800

Sale 2:

Sold for $24.99 on September 14 2025

Keys were $1.82 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

24.99/1.82=13.73 ~14 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for $24.99 on October 11 2025

Keys were $1.89

24.99/1.89=13.22 ~13 keys

Sales:

13, 14

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/6NRTdE6 none

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1106;5;u3061 $24.99 (~14 keys)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Cavalier+de+Carte+Taunt%3A+Square+Dance none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Square%20Dance?filter=Cavalier+de+Carte https://imgur.com/BDcxI6y none

Going with 13-14 keys