Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31422;5;u312

History not found

mp.tf sale on 9/21/25

$33.33 / $1.90 = 17.5

Rounding to 18

Sale #2

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31422;5;u312

https://backpack.tf/item/16132839273

mp.tf sale on 11/24/25

$33.33 / $1.82 = 18.3

Rounding to 18

Sale #3

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31422;5;u312

History not found

mp.tf sale on 11/25/25

$33.33 / $1.80 = 18.5

Rounding to 19

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/15926986377

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199830151765#!/compare/1758758400/1759968000

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/14556022242

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100464640#!/compare/1762128000/1762819200

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/14556022242

16 keys 29 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1762560000/1762646400(ID: 16390574519)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074156684#!/compare/1761523200/1763164800

Rounding to 16

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/14486537310

18 keys 0.66 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051443288#!/compare/1759449600/1759536000 (ID: 16242670504)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1759449600/1759536000

Rounding to 18

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/14486537310

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1759622400/1759708800

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/14470061004

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199550301253#!/compare/1759276800/1759363200

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/14470061004

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282065071#!/compare/1759536000/1759622400

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/14470061004

13 keys 7 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310750043#!/compare/1759536000/1759622400 (ID: 16244643506)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1759536000/1759622400

Rounding to 13

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/14470061004

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1759536000/1759708800

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/14470061004

14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389037870#!/compare/1759536000/1759708800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050194207#!/compare/1759622400/1759708800

Sale #14

https://backpack.tf/item/13948883423

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1760227200/1760400000

Sale #15

https://backpack.tf/item/13948883423

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130432517#!/compare/1760140800/1760400000

Sale #16

https://backpack.tf/item/13948883423

14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1760400000/1760486400 (ID: 16292367624)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161196838#!/compare/1760400000/1760486400

Sale #17

https://backpack.tf/item/13948883423

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161196838#!/compare/1761177600/1761264000

Sale #18

https://backpack.tf/item/13915139488

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080172780#!/compare/1758326400/1758412800

Sale #19

https://backpack.tf/item/16132839273

14 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1756857600/1756944000 (ID: 16131494907)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263311191#!/compare/1756857600/1756944000

Sale #20

https://backpack.tf/item/16132839273

1:1 for a Terror-watt bat hat

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263311191#!/compare/1756857600/1756944000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314776045#!/compare/1756857600/1756944000

Using there

Sale #21

https://backpack.tf/item/16132839273

13 keys 12.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314776045#!/compare/1756857600/1757030400

Confirmed by gladiator.tf: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Radiant%20Rivalry%20Nightcap&at=2025-12-02T21:50:02.565Z

Rounding to 13

Sale #22

https://backpack.tf/item/16132839273

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1757203200/1757376000

Current sellers:

$33.33 on mp.tf

$49.99 on mp.tf

16.51 keys on bp.tf

Sales: 18, 18, 19, 16, 18, 13, 14, 14, 14, 13

Despite being capped by a 16.51 key seller, I happen to know that Havr is a fake bot and hasn't accepted any trades in almost a month. Therefore, ignoring the fake seller. Buyers at 13.26 cap the sales at 13. Going to call 19 an outlier to provide balance.

Final price: 14 - 18