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Sale #1
https://backpack.tf/item/15471861700
23 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1760832000/1760918400 (ID: 16314372160)
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047615621#!/compare/1760659200/1761091200
Sale #2
https://backpack.tf/item/15471861700
Sold for 17 keys + Winter Spirit Taunt: The Boston Breakdance (mini at 6.4) + Strange Particulate Protector (0.3)
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047615621#!/compare/1760659200/1760918400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109719082#!/compare/1760832000/1761004800
17 + 6.4 + 0.3 = 23.7
Rounding to 24
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taunt mini
Taunt insta dumped to bots flor ~6.4
6 keys 28 ref
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047615621#!/compare/1761091200/1761350400 (ID: 16332159701)
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1761004800/1761091200
-----
Current sellers:
$59.99 on mp.tf (2x)
27.51 keys on bp.tf
32 keys on bp.tf
Sales: 23, 24
Final price: 23 - 24
buyers at 24 keys makes 23 seem a bit low now. 24 flat may be better here
The 23 key sale was the only pure sale. The 24 key sale was mixed and required me to round up. Isn’t it more accurate to have a range here, especially if buyers drop?
New sale:
Sold for 27 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1769731200/1769817600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199103215683#!/compare/1769731200/1769817600
In retrospect, yeah 23 is probably fine here. The 24 sale also has a chance of rounding down to 23 if the Breakdance were to be re-valued at less should it get a full suggestion, but ultimately that doesn't really matter that much.
Resuggest at 23-27.