Sale #1

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/391;5;u30

https://backpack.tf/item/2845807009

mp.tf sale on 9/30/25

$79.99 / $1.90 = 42.1

Rounding to 42

Sale #2

https://backpack.tf/item/9940860938

9 keys traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1757635200/1757721600

Sale #3

https://backpack.tf/item/9940860938

STN dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141187659#!/compare/1757721600/1757808000

Sale #4

https://backpack.tf/item/9940860938

4 keys traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1759795200/1759881600

Sale #5

https://backpack.tf/item/1348094900

29 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1760227200/1760313600 (ID: 16284100961)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257908042#!/compare/1759968000/1760400000

Sale #6

https://backpack.tf/item/1348094900

ref traced

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257908042#!/compare/1759968000/1761868800

Sale #7

https://backpack.tf/item/1348094900

23 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198843960450#!/compare/1761177600/1761264000 (ID: 16331519261)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119484218#!/compare/1761177600/1761264000

Sale #8

https://backpack.tf/item/1348094900

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119484218#!/compare/1762992000/1763164800

Sale #9

https://backpack.tf/item/778526391

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154657580#!/compare/1756857600/1764288000

Sale #10

https://backpack.tf/item/778526391

27 keys 13.22 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1760400000/1760486400 (ID: 16293092531)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1760400000/1760486400

Rounding to 27

Sale #11

https://backpack.tf/item/778526391

27 keys 2.66 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1760745600/1760832000 (ID: 16308681008)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199388511269#!/compare/1760659200/1760832000

Histories align and make sense

Rounding to 27

Sale #12

https://backpack.tf/item/778526391

Dumped to quicksell.store

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199388511269#!/compare/1760832000/1760918400

Sale #13

https://backpack.tf/item/778526391

34 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1764028800/1764115200 (ID: 16440539328)

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219848423#!/compare/1764028800/1764115200

Current sellers:

$69.99 on mp.tf

$79.99 on mp.tf

$86.99 on mp.tf (2x)

Sales: 42, 9, 4, 29, 23, 27, 27, 34

If it wasn't for that high mp.tf sale, I'd have called 34 an outlier. But since it's there (and unusable), it should be included. 23 is countered by buy orders.

Final price: 27 - 34