Price Suggestion
~1000 keys
slumber
Unusual Hong Kong Cone Starstorm Slumber
27 votes up
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Oh boy 5 keys oh boy oh boy, also countering technically but w/e


Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/5203292895


Sale 1: Sold alongside a Strange Professional Killstreak Bottle and a Strange Festivized Professional Killstreak Pistol for 475 keys, a Burning Flames Dread Hiding Hood, a Purple Confetti Bone Cone, a Strange Professional Killstreak Frying Pan, and a Strange Professional Killstreak C.A.P.P.E.R

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827742151#!/compare/1764374400/1764460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267189538#!/compare/1764201600/1764374400

https://imgur.com/a/LjRnEy0


Starting with seller's side:

Microing the Strange PKS Bottle at buyers, no special kit, 2.51k: https://imgur.com/a/Szj1X5X

Microing the Strange PKS Festivized Pistol at buyers, no special kit, 5.27k: https://imgur.com/a/rjzqy1d


Buyers side:


Micro for the PFetti Bone Cone:


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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/10938743391


Sale 1: Untrace, date mismatch as well on when it enters God's inv

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1760227200/1760313600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978529121#!/compare/1760486400/1760572800


Sale 2: Another date mismatch with God, first compare is when it leaves, second is 7 keys entering from juroff, third is Juroff acquiring, marking as incomplete

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978529121#!/compare/1761091200/1761350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197978529121#!/compare/1761436800/1761523200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310750043#!/compare/1761436800/1761523200


Sale 3: Untrace, not sure what Juroff receives from nierxi and it can't be seen entering on the compare, nor existing in the gap following

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310750043#!/compare/1761955200/1762041600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960278017#!/compare/1761868800/1762041600


Sale 4: Untrace, nothing shares history with nierxi

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960278017#!/compare/1761868800/1762041600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1761955200/1762128000


Sale 5: Untrace, no unusuals outgoing to Morch, no incoming keys share w/ Bonk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1762905600/1763251200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070248296#!/compare/1762819200/1763078400


Sale 6: Bot dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070248296#!/compare/1763251200/1763510400

No compares show on Liquid bot, presumably withdrawn by Vytal sameday


Sale 7: 142k pure?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335636056#!/compare/1763856000/1764028800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1763856000/1764115200

Based on Morch dumping several unusuals to MigoBot, and vytal receiving 142k from MigoBot with nothing dumped, connecting these based on Morch's dumps, but with the amount of tradebacks between Migo/Morch, might be a bot owner (nothing in Steam profile indicating), so marking as a supportive sale for now


Sale 8: Untrace, not seen entering buyer's

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170410718#!/compare/1763683200/1764288000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1764115200/1764201600


Sale 9: Untrace, nothing of value exchanged on buyer/seller side (also not seen leaving/enter, same as 8)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170410718#!/compare/1764288000/1764374400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827742151#!/compare/1764288000/1764374400


Sale 10: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827742151#!/compare/1764374400/1764460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177132803#!/compare/1764288000/1764374400


Sale 11: Untrace, no incoming keys share history

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177132803#!/compare/1765584000/1765497600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070248296#!/compare/1765670400/1765756800


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While the 142k sale is a bit inconclusive for a pricing suggestion, I think considering the previous suggestion, it's fine to price it at 142 for the purposes of the micro, as opposed to buyers at 98 keys.


Micro for the BF Dread Riding Hood:


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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/15758053303


Sale 1: Untrace, not enough outgoing keys and nothing incoming from buyer

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199745887780#!/compare/1763769600/1763942400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827742151#!/compare/1763942400/1764201600


Sale 2: Traded in bulk, then bot dumped

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827742151#!/compare/1764374400/1764460800

https://imgur.com/a/LjRnEy0

This is for the above trade, so buyer presumably dumped same day w/ no compare.


Sale 3: STN pickup, untrace, no outgoing from buyer's and no significant amount of pure incoming on seller's side

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1765065600/1765238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182016589#!/compare/1763942400/1765238400


-----


Given that our only reasonable sale is untrace and the other movements are bulk and dumps, fine to take buyer's here: https://imgur.com/a/b3tuOwj

318.3k


Str. PKS Frying Pan has no special kits, microing at buyers: https://imgur.com/a/9r1t3FK

61.75k


Str. PKS CAPPER has no special kits, microing at buyers: https://imgur.com/a/mayrdnL

52.87k


Total for Sale 1: 475 + 318.3 + 142 + 61.75 + 52.87 - 5.27 - 2.51 = 1042.14k


Sale 2: Untrace, allegedly gambling won

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827742151#!/compare/1765324800/1765411200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827742151#!/compare/1765324800/1765411200

https://imgur.com/a/4enivcF


Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/1glCrzH


One in-date sale at 1042.14k, rounding this up to 1050k and taking that for the sole value.

    bro really pricing pro ks capper at 52 when regular capper has 56 buyers smh


    also most of the BF hood trade is here https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1765065600/1765238400

    148+Cool Brain Candy Pistol (Field-Tested)+Haunted Ghosts Aviator Assassin+Eyes of Molten California Cap


    also pan has 20+ sales on marketplace bro cant do 126/1,8


    also the bone cone has gladiator.tf bot buy at 100 https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Purple%20Confetti%20Bone%20Cone


    sloppy work šŸ¤“


      fun fact, rounding covers the slight differences on the capper and pan šŸ¤“


      Bone cone has a sale at 142 which is usable and no need to take a 100 key buyorder purchase, this really should not be needed to be mentioned.


      Also, if you spent a little time you would notice the pistol does not connect to the dread riding...

      Nor does the california cap have any valid sales so that sale would end up likely being not usable in the end anyway unless you wanna take that sale at its buyorders. Which that sale would end at if taken at face value being "148 + 92.97 + 64.21 = 305.18" being under buyorders for the hood itself (318) and that's valuing the aviator at its current inflated buyorder value (meanwhile priced at 58 4 months ago but buyers up to 64.21).

      And that's says the stn sale is actually 148 pure.


      Please look into details before trying to correct someone.


        Yeah sure MrMorch who is the owner of MigoBot and has dumped the cone every time he had it, for some reason buys it from vytal for above bp price to then dump it again?

        stn prices are 318 & 352 respectively https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Burning+Flames+Dread+Hiding+Hood

        Check your priviledge

          Damn some hostility when I was just correcting your statement.


          But thanks for correcting me, the dread would be 321 keys, not 318 keys. - https://gyazo.com/d80062aa33edb361c5cdbd058eae840d

          Either way with rounding and taking the dread at 3 keys higher, the capper at 56 and the pan at 70 (126/1.8 = 70 (I know math is hard)) which is above sellers like you wanted taken, it would still round down to 1050 :)


          pan unsold at 67 - https://gyazo.com/c2ff752d3798a9aea7de3bbf3f2ae693


          475 + 321 + 142 + 70 + 56 - 5.27 - 2.51 = 1056.22, rounds to 1050.


          If you wish to confirm you could add mrmorch if you are so pressed about the sale and want to confirm the 142 or the resulting sale.


          Either way, hostility has no place in suggestions, please keep it formal.

            The second Bone Cone sale was juroff buying it for 105 Keys - https://imgur.com/a/kN5IZFq

            vytal's sale to MrMorch was 101 Keys. It really was unlikely to be 142 - https://imgur.com/a/JGGKLCw


            100 - 105 should be taken as its price here with 98 still matching bot buy orders. Also, @ Cowboy Magnemite, you should let the original suggester have a chance to resuggest this rather than immediately countering their suggestion.

              I was making mine and saw this pop up and after reading it. saw it was made 11 min after Juroff said "5 keys to whoever makes this" (and for context, I don't care if he pays me, I was just doing the freebie), so he just posted Juroff's screenshot, the item history, and the wrong compare link and pressed send. I wouldn't counter this otherwise, but given it was a person who just threw in slop in 10 min~ to say "first" and is their first suggestion, I doubt they would even intend to do the proper work on this (if it wasn't done largely by me with some helpful folks here as well).


              https://imgur.com/a/E5flfhh

    Cool hat

      I concur, this combo is reserved for the most upstanding of Medic guide authors (indubitably).