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Sale #1
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31497;5;u373
mp.tf sale on 11/17/25
$49.99 / $1.82 = 27.5
Rounding to 28
Sale #2
https://backpack.tf/item/15965527526
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155847627#!/compare/1759190400/1759968000
Sale #3
https://backpack.tf/item/15965527526
12 keys
Confirmed by glad.tf: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Drunkard%20Hot%20Spaniel&at=2025-12-19T19:18:33.031Z
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158790586#!/compare/1759881600/1760659200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202110112#!/compare/1759795200/1759881600
Sale #4
https://backpack.tf/item/15965527526
18 keys
Confirmed by glad.tf: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Drunkard%20Hot%20Spaniel&at=2025-12-19T19:18:33.031Z
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202110112#!/compare/1760313600/1760400000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079347367#!/compare/1760313600/1761350400
Sale #5
https://backpack.tf/item/16151174150
gambled?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199791933992#!/compare/1758412800/1758499200
Sale #6
https://backpack.tf/item/16151174150
quicksell.store dump
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199123158672#!/compare/1759449600/1762214400
Sale #7
https://backpack.tf/item/16151174150
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697483558#!/compare/1763510400/1763596800
Sale #8
https://backpack.tf/item/16008816059
24 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048625105#!/compare/1761696000/1761955200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170162477#!/compare/1761523200/1762300800
buyer quicksold sunbeams throttlehead to stn, those keys were used for purchase. Histories track
Sale #9
https://backpack.tf/item/16008816059
STN dump
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170162477#!/compare/1761523200/1762300800
Sale #10 (unusable)
SCM sale
https://imgur.com/a/IDU2lID
$27.00 = 12.61 keys
Rounding to 13
Sale #11
SCM sale
https://backpack.tf/item/16165489923
https://imgur.com/a/HutgRWG
$60.00 = 28.04 keys
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216801481#!/compare/1758758400/1758844800
Rounding to 28
Current sellers:
$42.00 on SCM
$71.11 on SCM
Sales: 28, 12, 18, 24, 13 (unusable), 28
All sales above 18 are countered by the current SCM seller. To balance it out, I will ignore the 12 key sale.
Final price: 18
This simply has too many outliers. If you have 6 wildly varying sales ranging between 12 and 28, then 18 flat (based on only one of the sales) is not really a good starting point. The market as it is is then simply not stable enough or not representative, so it is better to leave this unpriced with this data.