Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/16344461546

Sale 1: 17k + 2 ToD Tickets (Craftable)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136703132#!/compare/1762646400/1762732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199502673922#!/compare/1760400000/1762819200

Fixxxer dumps hats to STN, keys come from those dumps, tickets match

Midpoint of tickets right now is 29.66 ref, times two is 59.32 ref, 58.83 ref per key gives us 1.01k (rounding to 1 key for simplicity), giving us 18k for Sale 1.

Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/xvnPwcJ

Buyer dumps to STN:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199502673922#!/compare/1763769600/1764201600

Sale 2: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1764892800/1765065600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283216770#!/compare/1764720000/1764979200

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/16285546864

Sale 1: Bulk (can't be seen entering buyer's, but seller's shows incoming/outgoing)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199426390841#!/compare/1765929600/1766275200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071082937#!/compare/1766707200/1766793600

Sale 2: Bulk (same thing with not leaving seller's side, but buyers side shows incoming alongside Aussie Tomi + OFire Fedora)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201518699#!/compare/1766016000/1766188800

Sale 3: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201518699#!/compare/1767744000/1767830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841438553#!/compare/1767830400/1767916800

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/16259971265

Sale 1: Bot dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029455765#!/compare/1761955200/1762041600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1761868800/1761955200

Sale 2: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1763769600/1763856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199006626756#!/compare/1757289600/1763942400

Sale 3: Bot dump (moves same day, no history w/ bot inv)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199006626756#!/compare/1764374400/1764806400

Can't be seen entering/exiting Kiryu nor Piu Piu's inventories, then is presumably dumped to an STN bot

Sale 4: Untrace STN pickup, two dumps come through but no incoming key bundles match through STN, all go to Dolphin

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1765065600/1765152000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055923827#!/compare/1764979200/1765065600

Sale 5: Sold alongside a Lost Signal Stakeout for a Team Recognition Blast Defense (which this is a mini for, and is potentially bulky)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055923827#!/compare/1765584000/1765670400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310750043#!/compare/1765584000/1765670400

Sale 6: Untrace, nothing outgoing from Skara goes to Juroff, nothing incoming to Juroff from Skara besides Mannrobics

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310750043#!/compare/1765670400/1765756800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199405206015#!/compare/1765670400/1766534400

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/16259809389

Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146259385#!/compare/1760659200/1761264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354521143#!/compare/1760659200/1761091200

Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/16236091722

Sale 1: Bulk/one-sided, doesn't show up on 2nd account at all, or the third, basically moves straight to Kaguya

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198956952703#!/compare/1765411200/1765497600

Kaguya pickup: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199500810413#!/compare/1765411200/1765497600

Kaguya withdrawal: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199500810413#!/compare/1765497600/1765584000

Not seen entering/leaving Piu Piu's inventory, shows up in Komi's:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1765497600/1765584000

Sale 2: Looks to be 1:1'd for a Morbidly Beast Taunt: Kazotsky Kick, comes from Piu Piu but based on previous movements this is fine

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199048237826#!/compare/1767398400/1767484800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1767398400/1767484800

Would likely use to help w/ the Kick, but this was overpay, regardless it's redumped next day

Sale 3: STN dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199048237826#!/compare/1767744000/1768003200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1767916800/1768003200

Sale 4: STN pickup, 14 keys minus 34.55 ref on buyer's side

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109452231#!/compare/1768003200/1768262400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1768089600/1768176000

58.83 ref per key - 34.55 ref = 13 keys, 24.28 ref or 13.41k for Sale 4

Item 6: https://backpack.tf/item/8389380259

Sale 1: Bot dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078384720#!/compare/1763769600/1765324800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1765238400/1765324800

Sale 2: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1766534400/1766620800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199048237826#!/compare/1765929600/1766707200

At this point it also shows the 1:1 for the Morbidly Beast Taunt: Kazotsky Kick from Item 5, Sale 2, so assuming this is broken history conflicts, as there doesn't seem to be anything else regarding legitimate sales movements in this history.

Item 7: https://backpack.tf/item/16160504047

Sale 1: Untrace, enters untradeable so might be original unusualifier

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697483558#!/compare/1761868800/1761955200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697483558#!/compare/1761868800/1761955200

Sale 2: Sold alongside a Split Malice Taunt: Runner's Rhythm for a Green Energy Wild Brim Slouch

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199222203950#!/compare/1763251200/1763337600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1763251200/1763337600

Green Energy Wild Brim Slouch is in-date at 21.5 keys, subtracting buyers for the Split Malice Runner's Rhythm at 3.02 keys to give us 18.48 keys for this sale.

Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/1vv3rOq

Sale 3: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1764460800/1764547200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199485225128#!/compare/1764374400/1764547200

Sale 4: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199485225128#!/compare/1764633600/1764720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199533260966#!/compare/1764633600/1764720000

Sale 5: Redump, doesn't show entering/leaving buyer's inventories

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199533260966#!/compare/1764979200/1765065600

Entering OVFF's: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199624565326#!/compare/1764892800/1765324800

Sale 6: Untrace, then seems to be part of a larger dump by Liquidatorking

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199624565326#!/compare/1765324800/1765411200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130713383#!/compare/1765324800/1765411200

Pickup by XTappi: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056971451#!/compare/1715904000/1765411200

Sale 7: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056971451#!/compare/1765411200/1765584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198436097789#!/compare/1765497600/1765584000

Sale 8: Untrace, nothing of value exchanged

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198436097789#!/compare/1765670400/1765756800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198326660466#!/compare/1720224000/1766275200

Item 8: https://backpack.tf/item/5897097801

Sale 1: Untrace, looks like an 11 key small amount of ref bundle comes in, shared outgoing/incoming history with Rexor on these, can't tell what the intermediary item would be and since it's barely above buyers at 11 anyways, excluding

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070143764#!/compare/1765065600/1765152000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199401102638#!/compare/1765065600/1765411200

Item 9: https://backpack.tf/item/4478747941

Looks to be unusualified by Kleetacus

Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064060046#!/compare/1762646400/1763164800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156558946#!/compare/1756166400/1764633600

Untrace movements, also looks to start having intersecting histories with joystick1 from Item 3 above, disregarding these again up until the STN dump.

Sale 2: Untrace STN pickup

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1766016000/1766102400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124141056#!/compare/1766016000/1766188800

Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/96z6JPJ

Sales at 13.41k, 18k, and 18.48k. Fresh listing at 17, but given the two sales at 18k, this seems like a common enough price point to leave it. Leaving the 13.41k sale in, as the sale at 18.48k is using a micro for the other taunt in the trade, and could potentially be around 15-16 keys. Midpoint also will be below current listed, just in case some older sales are a little high. Taking 13k for the low end and 18k for the high end.