Quintuple spell micro should be fun I think :clueless:

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/2034926616

Sale 1: Sold for a It's a Secret to Everybody Prince Tavish's Crown, and a Strange Pumpkin Bombs / Exorcism Pro KS (Fire Horns/Team Shine) version of the following: Australium Grenade Launcher, Australium Stickybomb Launcher, Loch-n-Load, Scottish Resistance, and a Strange Exorcism Pro KS (FH/TS) Bottle

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199559263269#!/compare/1763942400/1764028800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1763942400/1764028800

It's a Secret to Everybody Prince Tavish's Crown open suggestion can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6971083e4d9b484df807fee8

Taking 750k

Starting with the GL, only 7~ exist with FH/TS and double spell and there's no valid movements, and while the kit itself is a value adder for sure, sales w/ poor kits are a closer estimate to a proper valuation for these than buyers in most cases, so looking at those primarily. Unfortunately there are still none I can find! There is one other sale but it's bulk here:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129540398#!/compare/1761264000/1761955200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1761868800/1761955200

So taking buyers at 330.05k: https://imgur.com/a/t2bK9Ym

For Stickybomb, same issue, a handful more exist but only one moved in-date, and it's untrace + banned user.

https://backpack.tf/item/16387653705

For non-matching kits:

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/16284901708

Sale 1: Looks to have sold alongside a VFB Strange Summer Shades for a 2x spelled Strange PKS Australium RL

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093692174#!/compare/1760227200/1760313600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1760227200/1760313600

Considering current situation, doesn't seem like this will provide a meaningful price. Buyers at 454k minus shades could be something, but this thing also seems to have resold a short while later for a Festive RL with the same spell situation, which would exclude it as being resold for less anyways, so excluding it on that basis.

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/16539301878

Untrace, no MP sale with an outlier price, would've been no adds for the spell here

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/16437382919

Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202258624#!/compare/1762819200/1764028800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418937523#!/compare/1762732800/1763251200

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/16361774886

Sale 1: Same trade as above for GL, nothing usable here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1759708800/1759795200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198315558870#!/compare/1759708800/1759795200

Looks like taking buyers again: https://imgur.com/a/bH7Lqwe

430.34k

For the Loch-n-Load, only one moved in-date: https://backpack.tf/item/16476490223

Sale 1: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879001957#!/compare/1761436800/1761782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1761696000/1761782400

Sale 2: Looks like it was 1:1'd with a single spelled, but that wouldn't really make sense, but there's nothing else shared in history that seems to have made up adds to the deal, so marking as untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1764547200/1764633600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088389333#!/compare/1761091200/1764806400

Taking buyers at 35.32k: https://imgur.com/a/gafIZPr

For the Scottish resistance, two moved in-date:

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/16584802579

Sale 1: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071082937#!/compare/1767312000/1767398400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357556140#!/compare/1767312000/1767398400

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/16620541790

Sale was through Marketplace, dates line up as it enters buyer's BP on 1/13 > 1/14, sale was 1/13.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198336662358#!/compare/1768262400/1768348800

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/130;11;kt-3

Sold for $299.99 Jan 13th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Key price for the day is $1.82

$299.99/$1.82 = 164.82k

Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/0QVL5WN

Admittedly this is 30k~ over unsolds and should be considered an outlier, but given the options are take it at buyers of 73.2k~ and devalue this further, versus take a Marketplace sale that allows margin for error in the earlier micro's for this, I'd opt for the latter and take this at the sale of 164.82k.

Lastly, the humble bottle. This one is duped, which would be a problem, but this one sold, so it's easy, hooray!

Sold for 28k:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1764028800/1764115200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086355525#!/compare/1763769600/1764115200

Total for Sale 1: 750 + 330.05 + 430.34 + 35.52 + 164.82 + 28 = 1738.73k

No classifieds link, one buyer at 337.5k and that (and the rest of the orders) aren't relevant here.

One sale at 1738.73, rounding this up to 1750k and taking that for the sole value.