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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/12176958501
Sale 1: Sold for a Roboactive Hermes and 97k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1762732800/1762905600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198387991202#!/compare/1762819200/1762905600
Using for Hermes
Sale 2: Bot dump
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198387991202#!/compare/1766102400/1766188800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1766102400/1766188800
Sale 3: 300k STN pickup
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1766102400/1766188800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329439258#!/compare/1766102400/1766188800
Sale 4: Sold alongside 30k for a Blades of Betrayal Bumble Beenie and a Circling TF Logo Le Party Phantom
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084205929#!/compare/1767916800/1768003200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329439258#!/compare/1767225600/1768003200
LPP is in-date at 190k
Blades of Betrayal Bumble Beenie open suggestion can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/697d759ab538a5828f055b80
Taking 228k
228 + 190 - 30 = 388k for Sale 4
Classifieds link:
Two sales, one at 300k and one at 388k, 300k sale moved instantly on STN, so excluding it based on the speed of the sale.
Taking our one sale at 388k, rounding it to 390k in case of changes to the Beenie suggestion, and taking that for the sole value.
Realized I forgot to post the classifieds link here lol: https://imgur.com/a/haunted-forever-bone-cone-classifieds-1-30-26-tdfIAYe
sale 2 supports a lower price as well. unsure why only the highest sale is being considered here out of 3 sales
Sale 2 is an untrace bot dump, whatever keys were received were put towards the Eerie Orbiting Fire Flipped Trilby same day.
Sale 3 was it being picked up within the day from STN, and usually when it's snagged that fast because someone wants to resell, it
's indicative of it being a quicksell by STN. Livay picked it up the same day it was listed and sold it less than 2 weeks later for an 88k profit.
I had forgotten to post the classifieds link in the original post but it was 255k on 1/30~ and STN buyers are currently at 252k. While they weren't nearly close enough to buyers to exclude on that basis alone, the speed at which it sold on STN to be resold a short time later for a decent profit lead me to believe it's more of a quicksale than anything.
yes it sold fast but with sales at <300, 300, and 390 it doesn't really make sense here to use only the highest sale here. 300 - 390 seems more logical of how this has been traded with the lower dump supporting the low-end