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This time it's not me :D but seeing as how outdated it is I wanted to do some digging and 2 recent sales :D
Sale 1 210 pure keys
Item: https://backpack.tf/item/5206125728
Seller's side: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046479972#!/compare/1768694400/1768780800 (very clean)
Buyer's side: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199709419972#!/compare/1768694400/1768780800 (pretty messy)
Sale 2 Scorching Flames Dapper Noel + Magenta Monstrum Starlight Sorcerer for Starstorm Cotton Head + 5 keys pure
Item: https://backpack.tf/item/5186378479
Seller's side: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068986329#!/compare/1768521600/1768608000
Buyer's side: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198246096512#!/compare/1768521600/1768694400
Dapper Noel indate @ 89 keys: https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Dapper%20Noel/Tradable/Craftable/14
Starlight Sorcerer priced @ 145 keys a year ago but listing and buy orders support the price still being accurate?
89 + 145 - 5 = 229 rounding to 230
Range of 210 - 230
The Starlight Sourcer has in-date sales:
https://backpack.tf/item/14689072324
https://backpack.tf/item/14901619957
You should check them since you shouldn't be using a 1 year old price, especially when it's the biggest part of the sale
the Magenta Monstrum Starlight Sorcerer will need to be mini'd
feel free to re-suggest once this is done