Suggestion: Green Black Hole Exquisite Rack at 3100–3400 keys

Price Suggestion

~3525 keys

32 votes up

3 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 05 Feb 26 01:25:39 +0000 by the submitter.

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I hope r0b and Shocked enjoy another W in the book of robo enjoyers, the 500 minis of doom and despair will not stop me from breaking this rack's dry streak

Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/2841262568

Sale 1: Sold for a Burning Flames Exquisite Rack, a Morning Glory Hong Kong Cone, and a Haunted Phantasm Jr Slick Cut

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1763164800/1763251200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335636056#!/compare/1763078400/1763251200

Burning Flames Exquisite Rack open suggestion can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/69823a5f0f9649797b057b4f

Taking 2140k

Haunted Phantasm Jr Slick Cut open suggestion can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/69820636ca45a85c800267e2

Taking 200k

Morning Glory Hong Kong Cone open suggestion can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6983685a34e4d1cfdb037219

Taking 780k

Total for Sale 1: 2140 + 200 + 780 = 3120k

Sale 2: Sold alongside a Phosphorous Troublemaker's Tossle Cap, a Starstorm Insomnia Hong Kong Cone, and 100 keys for a GPan

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198335636056#!/compare/1767398400/1767484800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1767398400/1767484800

GPan is in-date at 3675k.

Phosphorous Troublemaker's Tossle Cap doesn't even get a full micro, as it's only other movement is a bot dump seen below, before being withdrawn by Vytal and used as bulk in the above sale.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165597659#!/compare/1766793600/1767312000

Microing it at buyers of 212k: https://imgur.com/a/iGFDC2n

Starstorm Insomnia Hong Kong Cone was redumped by Ultralow but gets way below buyers, sale is possibly incomplete, he receives 233k~ which doesn't seem accurate especially given current classifieds/STN buy orders, so still microing this at buyers despite my open suggestion here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/69836b545dfbc92fef0a1f9f

https://imgur.com/a/mqIR1yy STN buyer at 310k 42r, or using 57.94 ref price for keys, 310.73k

Total for Sale 2: 3675 - 310.73 - 212 = 3152.27k.

Sale 3: Sold alongside 300k for a GPan

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1767484800/1767571200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1767571200/1767657600

GPan is in-date at 3675k, -300k in adds gives us 3375k for Sale 3.

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/3060897890

Sale 1: Sold alongside a Time Warp Hat with No Name for a Frostbite Blighted Beak, Halcyon Halo Battle Boonie, and 900 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346080922#!/compare/1763596800/1763683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134512931#!/compare/1763596800/1763683200

This is a mini (lol) for the Blighted Beak.

Sale 2: Sold for a Misty Skull Hat with No Name, a Harvest Moon Hunter in Darkness, a Bewitching Bugs Sinner's Shade, and 25 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872222015#!/compare/1766793600/1766880000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134512931#!/compare/1766793600/1766880000

All movements on the Misty seem to be with extremely outdated prices as well (1:1'd with a Stormy 13th Hour Galvanized Gibus, 9y outdated, sold with adds for a Poisoned Shadows Dr's Dapper Topper, 4y outdated), so better used to update there.

Sale 3: Sold for the following:

Demonflame Broadband Bonnet w/ Sinister Staining, Strange Scorching Flames Whirly Warrior, Haunted Ghosts Patriot Peak, Galactic Connection Taunt: Rock, Paper, Scissors, a Dark Twilight Taunt: The Boston Boarder, a Dark Twilight Taunt: Square Dance, a Mysterious Mixture Taunt: Time Out Therapy, Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Grenade Launcher. There's a Baron's Cherished Chaplet Frag Proof Fragger and a Green Black Hole Medic's Mountain Cap also incoming, but unknown if related.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872222015#!/compare/1767398400/1767484800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838788284#!/compare/1767312000/1767398400

Demonflame Broadband Bonnet w/ Sinister Staining has only had this movement, and looks like a tradeback, so excluding.

Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/1XAAfAi

Sales at 3120k, 3152k, 3375k, range seems satisfactory and close given the range we're working with here. Rounding our 3120k sale down to 3100k for the low end, and our 3375k sale up to 3400k for the high end.

sick effect

can't say that I'm very happy about this considering my purchase is the last one, which is significantly more than this range, but what can I do

it feels shitty that the entire sale can be invalidated just because the broadband doesn't have a valid recent sale

the entire sale was also everything you see on my side minus the darkblaze bicorne

I mean the Strange Scorching Flames Whirly Warrior is also not priceable, only other movement is bulk.

Realistically, the Bonnet taken at buyers for non-spelled at 472k, plus buyers on the Strange Scorching Whirly, even if we assume that sale was like 4k~ or so, it's gonna get reeled back down into the range with the other sales just due to taking buyers, so it seemed disingenuous for both the valuation of that deal and would have no change on the suggestion as a whole.

Just cause I was curious if everything was slapped in as a micro/buyers:

2000k Harmburg + 32.3k GL + 29k~ Square Dance + 51k~ Boston Boarder + 74k~ RPS + 111k~ HG Peak + 26k Killer Joke + 6k~ Time Out Therapy

So we've got 2329k before these two additions, which would be micro'd at buyers of 600k and 472k, and those give us 3401k, which would round out to give us the same high end here.

It would be possible to slightly bump this up with proper minis for these taunts, but the main two value adders would be the Str. Scorching Whirly + Broadband, which have nothing useable for a mini at this time.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068703263#!/compare/1768089600/1768348800

400 + Scorching Tin Topi + Whirly for a Shining Stag Legendary Lid (recent price at 1750)

this sale on the whirly is valid though, it's just the broadband that isn't able to have a regular price

Oh I thought that Stag was out of date, might be able to do something with it then. Stag at 1750 - 440~ in adds would put the Strange Scorching Whirly at 1310~ which round down down to 1300 (also for error in microing Scorching Topi), which would put that Item 2 Sale 3 at 4100k. A jump in 700k is going to be an issue though since we have sales at 3100, 3150, 3400, and now 4100, it's still valid for a range but it's paid a lot more for than the others. Even retooling Item 2's Sale 1 to fit this suggestion (Beak for GPan, 273k hat + 900k in adds is about 4850~, -1350 for Time Warp HWNN) it would be 3500k, so if we have 4 sales and the possibility of a 5th all in that range or close to it, it does lean towards the high sale being excluded.

I'll throw up a suggestion for the Scorching Whirly and see if mods want the Item 2 Sale 3 micro'd and a new high end being set, or if they think it's too high compared to the multiple sales at 3100-3500 and want to leave it excluded.

I mean there is a recent sale for the non strange scorching Whirly Warrior from Mann co at 1850 USD or around 1100 keys. Sure we can’t use the Mann co sale but at least it should be referenced

I mean the Strange Scorching now has a suggestion now that I didn't goof on the Stag Lid's eligibility, but even referencing it wouldn't matter since we would still only have the 600 buyer as useable in that case. We know it SHOULD be higher there's no tangible number to use. But now there is!

Now it's just seeing if mods think I2-S3 should get a proper mini series for its taunts and be included at 4100+ despite how many sales counter it, but I'm deferring to them on that.

Yeah for sure. Thanks for clarifying on that!