Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/10167594593

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060189392#!/compare/1766448000/1766620800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219252313#!/compare/1766620800/1766880000

12 keys

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198219252313#!/compare/1771459200/1771545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1771372800/1771459200

Dumped to STN, untrace

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1771372800/1771459200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198977721610#!/compare/1771372800/1771459200

~6 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/10838228505

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253924719#!/compare/1768694400/1768953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1768867200/1768953600

Bulk to STN

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1769558400/1769644800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1769558400/1769644800

~6 keys, buyer listed it on STN

MPTF: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31154;5;u3059

Sale 6: sold for $39.99 on Feb 18 2026

Keys were $1.84 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

39.99/1.84=21,73 ~22 keys

Sales:

6, 6, 12, 22

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/XzuWi7y 11 keys (2 months)

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31154;5;u3049 $39.99 (~21 keys)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Delightful+Star+Taunt%3A+Time+Out+Therapy none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Time%20Out%20Therapy?filter=Spectral+Shackles https://imgur.com/l3PBpIw none

12 and 22 are definitely outliers given the seller at 11 that has been there for a long time. 12 resold for less so that sale wouldn't be valid to use either. Going with 6 keys flat