Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/15003305826

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064510302#!/compare/1764374400/1765497600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314345470#!/compare/1765065600/1765497600

5 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/15021263740

Sale 2:

Mannco.Store, excluding

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/15068984123

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199340333929#!/compare/1767312000/1768089600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198898142735#!/compare/1768003200/1768089600

Bulk for the Necromanced War Paint (Minimal Wear) ?

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198898142735#!/compare/1771632000/1771718400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1771632000/1771718400

Dumped in bulk to STN

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1771632000/1771718400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154979325#!/compare/1771632000/1771718400

Sold for 3 keys within a few hours

MPTF: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30922;5;u3184

Sale 6:

Sold for $9.99 on December 11 2025

Keys were $1.8 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

9.99/1.8=5.55 ~5.5 keys

Sales:

3, 5, 5.5

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/y12FSXL none

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30922;5;u3184 none

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Pumpkin+Patch+Taunt%3A+Luxury+Lounge none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Luxury%20Lounge?filter=+Pumpkin+Patch https://imgur.com/bcoMlBi none but it's worth noting that generic buyers are at 6.21€ (~3.15 keys)

3 feels like a low outlier here. It sold within a few hours and it's below generic buyers on SCM and pretty close to buyers on BPTF too. Going with 5-5.5 keys