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Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/16563935857
Sale 1: Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087051346#!/compare/1771027200/1771113600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153904011#!/compare/1771027200/1771113600
Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/6612764339
Sale 1: Sold alongside a Sunbeams Hermes for an Eerie Orbiting Fire Grenadier's Softcap
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1769731200/1769817600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344570674#!/compare/1769212800/1769817600
Better used to update Eerie OFire Softcap
Sale 2: Sold alongside a Sunbeams Hermes and 150k for a Nebula Universal Translator
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344570674#!/compare/1770854400/1770940800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564933935#!/compare/1770854400/1770940800
Nebula Universal Translator open suggestion can be found here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/69a4b6cb837aa3c44d001467
Taking midpoint of 485.5k.
Sunbeams Hermes isn't priceable, as it shares both movements with this Ushanka, which are also bulk. Given the 5 month unsold at just over 100k, taking buyers at 70.34k should be sufficient.
Total for Sale 2: 485.5 - 70.34 - 150 = 265.16k
Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/ex64hPX
One sale at 265.16k. While I'd like to round this up to 270 in case of issues with the Nebula, given how close the number is to which I have to round is meaning it might round down and need a resuggest anyways, and that the micro'd Hermes could be seen as overvaluing this, I'll round this down to 265k and taking that for the sole value.
BEST HEAVY HAT
Soviet Gentleman > Officer's Ushanka imo
For sure the best one for Heavy
New sale for the hermes
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/633;5;u17
Sold for $195 on the 20th of march
Keys were $1.93 on the 20th
195/1.93
= 101
Rounding to 100.
This would make sale sale 2 (485.5 - 100 - 150) = 235.
In this instance it would be to bulky to be used here.
While this is true technically speaking, I think applying an exception in this case is suitable given a number of factors. The Hermes has been proven to be 2x less than the Ushanka under any circumstance, the Translator has several pure sales which were already used to price it in the previous suggestion, and the 150 Keys are... Keys. Pure keys inherently give bulk sales less weight as it makes it clear that we're not relying on the speculative value of other involved hats. And if the Nebula Translator wasn't proven to have a solid base with liquid key sales, arguing for this would be significantly more difficult.
I do agree it's not the best sale to use, but I don't think the alternative of leaving this outdated makes much sense here since an update not only is better than the current price, but it would lead to the Eerie Softcap as well as Hellfire Bear Necessities being unable to be updated.
Hellfire Bear Necessities? Yeah, there's a new sale:
Seems to have sold for a Hellfire Bear Necessities
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199086288614#!/compare/1774742400/1774742400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801168467#!/compare/1774742400/1775606400
Bear Necessities has no other in-date sales.
I'm not fully sure if this trade is a 1:1, but unless the buyer or seller give additional information about the sale, this can be suggested as-is.
This can be resuggested at 235, and the sales here can be used to price the Hermes, Softcap and Bear Necessities as well.
Guess I should go with my gut more often.