Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/10521714994

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1769904000/1769990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174759381#!/compare/1769990400/1770076800

13 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/14257295853

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1766361600/1766448000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115614505#!/compare/1766361600/1766448000

14 keys 9 ref, rounds to 14 keys

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115614505#!/compare/1768003200/1768953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1768003200/1768089600

Dumped to a bot, 35.33 ref matches but Gladiator.tf states this was 12 keys 35.33 ref https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Vexed%20Volcanics%20A%20Handsome%20Handy%20Thing&at=2026-03-02T17:38:38.866Z

This rounds to 13, not using it as sole proof since the sale itself isn't traceable but using it as support

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004803157#!/compare/1769731200/1769817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380634252#!/compare/1769731200/1769817600

Bulk/bot to bow owner transfer

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198380634252#!/compare/1771200000/1771286400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1771200000/1771286400

Dumped to STN in bulk for 155 keys (~1 key was in ref)

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1771459200/1771545600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146992563#!/compare/1771459200/1771545600

~12 keys

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146992563#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1771459200/1771545600

Dumped to STN, untrace

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146992563#!/compare/1771459200/1771545600

The same user bought it back for 12 keys

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146992563#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199441597171#!/compare/1771891200/1771977600

12 keys and ~1 key of refined are seen in the buyer's compare, taking 13 keys

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/9527363621

Deposited to Scrap.tf storage and then listed on Mannco.Store, nothing usable here

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/9435318059

Sale 10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034202273#!/compare/1769990400/1770076800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1769990400/1770076800

Dumped to Quicksell.Store, 1 key matches

Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/9296545999

Sale 11:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1769299200/1769385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199143171416#!/compare/1769299200/1769644800

The Steaming Prince Tavish's Crown, Schadenfreude, Scotsmann's Stagger and Basic KS Tribalman's Shiv Kit match, if this sale is correct it looks high

Sale 12:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199143171416#!/compare/1769644800/1772409600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1769644800/1769731200

Dumped back to Quicksell.Store, untrace

Sale 13:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1771545600/1771632000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199176466028#!/compare/1771632000/1771718400

12 keys match in buyer's compare

Sales:

12 (x3 but in theory 1 of them doesn't count since it was "traded back"), 13 (x2 and x1 not confirmed), 14

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/g8ezoYr 13.52 (10 days), buyers up to 12.31 keys https://imgur.com/ZwORv71

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31129;5;u161 $25.99 (~14 keys)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Vexed+Volcanics+A+Handsome+Handy+Thing none, buy order for way over 12 keys

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20A%20Handsome%20Handy%20Thing?filter=Vexed+Volcanics https://imgur.com/GhVchhA from 27.09€ (~13 keys)

14 isn't usable since it resold for less. 12 seems low with the buyers. Going with 13 keys flat