Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/15377386775

Sale 1:

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077395920#!/compare/1766102400/1766620800

https://imgur.com/a/DwWa3qC

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31472;5;u16

marketplace sale, $418.63 / 1.87~median key price that day = 223.86 ≈ 224

Sale 2:

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1767484800/1767744000

seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077395920#!/compare/1767484800/1767657600

keys never go to MrMorch, they go to DOLPHIN for the C. Moon Capper, untraceable but some sort of cash trade is my guess

Sale 3:

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198874598825#!/compare/1767830400/1767916800

seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1767744000/1767916800

gambling

Sale 4:

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312743572#!/compare/1768089600/1768608000

seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198874598825#!/compare/1768435200/1768521600

gambling

Sale 5:

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056722170#!/compare/1768694400/1768780800

seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312743572#!/compare/1768694400/1768780800

Sulphurous Platinum Pickelhaube(indate 162)+Collector's Razorback(~108) for Vivid Plasma Duality of Mantle + 11 keys

https://imgur.com/a/vpnFkei

162+108-11 = 259 rounding to 260

Sale 6:

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087911461#!/compare/1772064000/1772150400

seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056722170#!/compare/1772064000/1772150400

bulk

1/1 listed @ 300k

Taking 224-260