Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/2087823354

Sale 1: Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295073460#!/compare/1768780800/1770768000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199454201932#!/compare/1768608000/1769558400

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/1951262268

Sale 1: 80k, 34r

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1765411200/1765497600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1765411200/1765497600

Part of first bundle, seperate from the second block of keys/metal, which come from different source

Sale 2: Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1765843200/1765929600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1765843200/1765929600

Sale 3: 1:1'd for a Treasure Trove Reel Fly Hat (Schaden is traded same day, no clue where TT Reel goes after ThaBoy obtains it)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139627699#!/compare/1772582400/1772668800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050645518#!/compare/1772582400/1772668800

https://imgur.com/a/5pcya0a

Treasure Trove Reel Fly Hat has no other movements, so using there.

Sale 4: Sold alongside a Butterfly Season Reel Fly Hat and an Aces High Bone Dome for a Sakura Smoke Bomb Flame Warrior

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050645518#!/compare/1772582400/1772668800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1772582400/1772668800

https://imgur.com/a/cWtNnw5

Using for the Sakura Smoke Bomb Flame Warrior, as using it here would price it below buyers.

Marketplace sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/463;5;u3014

Sold for $200 on Dec 21st

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Key price is $1.83 for the day

$200/$1.83 = 109.29k

Sales at 80k 34r (34/54.325 key to ref midpoint = 0.63k) > 80.63k and 109.29k. Wide range, but neither is excluded by sellers or buyers, and the only tertiary movement is unusable or would be excluded. Taking 80.63k rounded up to 81k for the low end, and 109.29k rounded down to 109k for the high end.