Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/15984529162

Sale 1: 43k, digits on keys in the 43k bundle match ID on Helm entering Jack's inv

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1768089600/1768176000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195289375#!/compare/1768089600/1768608000

https://backpack.tf/item/14852026633 < Best matching key ID: 16615722880

Helm ID on entering Jack's inventory is: 16615722803

Sale 2: Sold alongside an Unusual Horseless Headless Horsemann's Headtaker, a Captain Cardbeard Cutthroat, and a Strange Specialized Killstreak Gold Botkiller Scattergun Mk.II for a Calm Snowfall Polar Charger, which this is a mini for, so not using here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195289375#!/compare/1769558400/1769644800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1769558400/1769644800

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/11504613252

Sale 1: Bot dump/untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1770163200/1770249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389549498#!/compare/1770163200/1770249600

Sale 2: Resells next day in bot dump

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1770163200/1770249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389549498#!/compare/1770249600/1770336000

Marketplace sale:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30082;5;u29

Sold for $99.99 on Jan 13th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Key price for the day is $1.82

$99.99 / $1.82 = 54.94k

Classifieds link: https://imgur.com/a/u8DLAc1

Two sales, one at 43k, one at 54.94k. 54.94k sale excluded as a massive outlier compared to a 45k unsold for 2 months. Taking the 43k sale for the sole value here.