Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/9644247860

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1766620800/1766707200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199212884852#!/compare/1766620800/1766707200

6 keys and not even a ref of metal

Sale 2:

Mannco.Store, excluding (whoever purchased it dumped it to STN anyway)

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1770163200/1770249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199761274249#!/compare/1770163200/1770249600

6 keys

MPTF: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30840;5;u3050

Sale 4:

Sold for $15.25 on December 24 2025

Keys were $1.85 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

15.25/1.85=8.24 ~8 keys

Sales:

6 (x2), 8

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/gYgCath 8.4 keys (12 days), 9 keys (4 months)

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30840;5;u3050 $14.4 (~7.5 keys)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Frosted+Star+Taunt%3A+Scotsmann%27s+Stagger none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Scotsmann%27s%20Stagger?filter=Frosted+Star 23.24€ (~11.5 keys)

Judging by the BPTF classies, one of the MPTF sellers has been there for 4 months, which makes me think that 8 is a bit on the high side. No idea how long it's been listed at $14.4 but it makes me think that it must have been listed at at least $15 in the past and had no success. Going with 6 keys flat