Sold for 1 key + 52.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1770854400/1770940800 - Near ID: 16721941757

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199028914331#!/compare/1770681600/1770940800

https://backpack.tf/item/13981404526

While keys were priced at ~58 ref at the time of the trade, they were selling for significantly less.

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&at=2026-02-13T07:55:33.020Z - keys were selling for ~53-54.22 ref at the time. Should be fair to take ~53.6, which barely rounds the sale down to 1.95 keys.

= 1.95 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199550301253#!/compare/1770422400/1770508800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199853690889#!/compare/1770422400/1770508800

https://backpack.tf/item/16422231796

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199853690889#!/compare/1770422400/1770508800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199852580246#!/compare/1770422400/1770508800

https://backpack.tf/item/16422231796

Untraceable/Bulk

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199852580246#!/compare/1770508800/1770595200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199493582916#!/compare/1770422400/1770595200

https://backpack.tf/item/16422231796

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199493582916#!/compare/1770595200/1770940800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998568601#!/compare/1770768000/1770940800

https://backpack.tf/item/16422231796

Untraceable. Most of these are probably gambling-related.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998568601#!/compare/1770768000/1770940800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1770854400/1770940800

https://backpack.tf/item/16422231796

Bulk for keys

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1770940800/1771027200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1771113600/1771200000

https://backpack.tf/item/16422231796

Untraceable, missing info in history

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199793756805#!/compare/1767225600/1768953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697483558#!/compare/1767139200/1767225600

https://backpack.tf/item/15144913094

Untraceable/Bulk

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199630216636#!/compare/1770681600/1773273600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199487802229#!/compare/1771027200/1773014400

https://backpack.tf/item/15518532715

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198848450651#!/compare/1769126400/1769385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199847102086#!/compare/1769385600/1769385600

https://backpack.tf/item/10750071278

Most likely scammed

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199847102086#!/compare/1769385600/1769385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199871795985#!/compare/1767916800/1769385600

https://backpack.tf/item/10750071278

Transferred to fence

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199871795985#!/compare/1769385600/1769472000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1769385600/1769472000

https://backpack.tf/item/10750071278

Successfully fenced

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1770336000/1770422400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138408723#!/compare/1770336000/1770422400

https://backpack.tf/item/10750071278

Untraceable, 25 keys match

https://backpack.tf/item/10749691463 - qsstore transfer

https://backpack.tf/item/12489619537 - qsstore transfer

https://backpack.tf/item/13974672234 - qsstore transfer

https://backpack.tf/item/15912264433 - mannco/marketplace

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/dWUeedR.png

https://backpack.tf/item/16422231796 - ~2.05 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14329790873 - ~2.05 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13981404526 - ~2.85 keys

Buyers at ~1.95 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31207;5;u3010

https://backpack.tf/item/10810461334 - $5.55

https://backpack.tf/item/10750071278 - $5.55

https://backpack.tf/item/14125056232 - $5.55

https://backpack.tf/item/15912264433 - $5.55

https://backpack.tf/item/12500921674 - $5.55

https://backpack.tf/item/10893396311 - $8

https://backpack.tf/item/11921399380 - $8

1 sale at 1.95 keys.

Sale is barely a month old.

While the price matches current buy orders, the difference between the sellers and buyers is miniscule. We also have potential bot purchases that would support using 1.95 keys here (#5, 6, 7, and 11, though the last one may be invalid).

Taking 1.95 flat.