Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/6252782084

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199697394581#!/compare/1769731200/1769817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259643102#!/compare/1768953600/1771200000

3 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/10032658208

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198367352079#!/compare/1769385600/1769644800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1769299200/1769385600

Dumped to Quicksell.Store alongside 12 keys for the Elemental Surgeon's Squeezebox, Schadenfreude, Meet the Medic and Rock, Paper, Scissors

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1769904000/1769990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028550151#!/compare/1769472000/1770076800

3 keys 30 ref (3.55 keys taking keys at 54.33 ref as a median point)

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/7417691506

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199415880198#!/compare/1760486400/1768003200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1767916800/1768003200

Dumped to Quicksell.Store untrace

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1772323200/1772409600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199819501137#!/compare/1772236800/1773014400

3 keys 10 ref (~3.2 keys)

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199819501137#!/compare/1772236800/1773014400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1772928000/1773014400

Dumped to a bot for 2 keys 8 ref (~2.15 keys)

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/12652019777

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102197223#!/compare/1765584000/1765670400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1765584000/1765670400

Dumped to STN, 39 ref matches

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1766016000/1766102400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028550151#!/compare/1766016000/1766102400

2 keys 35.66 ref match in seller's compare (~2.65 keys)

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028550151#!/compare/1766102400/1766188800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191090390#!/compare/1766016000/1766361600

5 keys

Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/13288640768

Sale 10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199536459741#!/compare/1765843200/1765929600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1765843200/1766016000

Bulk

Sale 11:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30843;5;u3123

Sold for $6.99 on December 27 2025

Keys were $1.88 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

6.99/1.88=3,72 ~3.7 keys

Item 6: https://backpack.tf/item/13405240274

Sale 12:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273732193#!/compare/1770163200/1770249600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1770249600/1770336000

Bulk/BP purchase then listed on MPTF

Sales:

2.15, 2.65, 3, 3.2, 3.55, 3.7, 5

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/Rntj2jt 3 (appears as only being listed just now, but the bot has owned it since March 9), 10 (2 months)

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30843;5;u3123 $8 (~4.25 keys, been there for a month according to BPTF)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Wildflower+Meadows+Taunt%3A+The+Russian+Arms+Race none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20The%20Russian%20Arms%20Race?filter=Wildflower+Meadows https://imgur.com/btecPkP 27.5€ (~13 keys)

5 looks like an outlier here. It's far apart from the other sales and there are 2 available for much less. The seller at 3 has only ben there for a few days and there are too many higher sales to ignore. 2.15 was a buy order dump so excluding that sale too.

Going with 2.65-3.7 keys