Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/7603516627

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1768435200/1768521600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199063639562#!/compare/1767744000/1768608000

Sold alongside 20.66 ref for 8 keys (taking keys with a median point of 54.33 ref, 20.66/54.33=0.38) 8-0.38=7.62 ~7.5 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/9634676485

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833734475#!/compare/1767139200/1767225600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198023738981#!/compare/1766880000/1769040000

Untrace

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/12546419101

Sale 3:

Mannco.Store, excluding

Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/13150379439

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199873632719#!/compare/1765843200/1765843200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1765756800/1765843200

Untrace/Bot dump

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125443371#!/compare/1765843200/1765929600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1765843200/1765929600

Untrace/Bulk

Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/15742784012

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198803409111#!/compare/1767830400/1769644800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198450164687#!/compare/1756512000/1770422400

Untrace

Item 6: https://backpack.tf/item/5005225880

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109802566#!/compare/1769731200/1769817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050651176#!/compare/1769731200/1769817600

32 ref matches

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050651176#!/compare/1769731200/1769817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826205227#!/compare/1739836800/1770768000

Untrace

Item 7: https://backpack.tf/item/3548458045

Sale 9:

Mannco.Store

Item 8: https://backpack.tf/item/2824747940

Listed on Mannco.Store

Item 9: https://backpack.tf/item/15926321617

Sale 10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198862273718#!/compare/1769212800/1769299200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379#!/compare/1769212800/1769299200

Bulk then sold on MPTF which I'm covering at the end

MPTF: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1110;5;u3007

Item 9 above, then items 10 and 11: https://backpack.tf/item/9455424547 https://backpack.tf/item/2732663292

Sale 11:

Sold for $15.99 on December 31 2025

Keys were $1.85 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

15.99/1.85=8.64 ~8.5 keys

Sale 12:

Sold for $15.99 on January 27 2026

Keys were $1.85

15.99/1.85=8.64 ~8.5 keys

Sale 13:

Sold for $15 on February 5 2026

Keys were $1.85

15/1.85=8.1 ~8 keys

Sale 14:

Sold for $15 on February 6 2026

Keys were $1.85

15/1.85=8.1 ~8 keys

Sale 15:

Sold for $15.99 on March 12 2026

Keys were $1.89

15.99/1.89=8.46 ~8.5 keys

Sales:

7.5, 8 (x2), 8.5 (x3)

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/bX4buEh 2 at 7.55 keys (14 days and 1 day)

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1110;5;u3007 none

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Skill+Gotten+Gains+Taunt%3A+Rock%2C+Paper%2C+Scissors none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Rock%2C%20Paper%2C%20Scissors?filter=Skill+Gotten+Gains https://imgur.com/nNycscl 19.12€ (~9 keys)

2 weeks is kind of long for an item like this i'd say, however we can't ignore the large volume of sales at 8-8.5 keys. Going with 7.5-8.5 keys