Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31233;5;u3010

https://backpack.tf/item/12044761792 - Jan 8th

https://backpack.tf/item/11049005438 - Jan 24th

https://backpack.tf/item/13220040190 - Jan 26th

$7.99, Jan 8th, 24th & 26th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.85, Jan 8th

$1.84, Jan 24th & 26th

7.99/1.85 = 4.319, rounds to 4.3 keys

7.99/1.84 = 4.342, rounds to 4.35 keys (2x)

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993159973#!/compare/1743552000/1771372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1771286400/1771372800

https://backpack.tf/item/11225629577

Bulk for keys

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199881554057#!/compare/1770422400/1770681600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199853548553#!/compare/1769644800/1770681600

https://backpack.tf/item/15601815474

Untraceable, most likely scammed

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199853548553#!/compare/1770681600/1771977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1770595200/1770681600

https://backpack.tf/item/15601815474

Untraceable, dumped on STN

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1771891200/1771977600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199543616611#!/compare/1771891200/1773273600

https://backpack.tf/item/15601815474

Untraceable, keys on the buyer’s end only go to other STN bots.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164003933#!/compare/1770768000/1771372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199189560763#!/compare/1771027200/1771113600 - buyer here may be incorrect

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mega%20Strike%20Taunt:%20The%20Homerunner%27s%20Hobby&at=2026-03-17T07:29:26.833Z - labelled as 3 keys + 30 ref

Untraceable. 30 ref matches on the seller’s end, some of the keys come from the supposed buyer here.

https://backpack.tf/item/15248452228 - qsstore bots

https://backpack.tf/item/14037797291 - qsstore bots

https://backpack.tf/item/13220040190 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/10767283058 - qsstore bots

https://backpack.tf/item/13366192659 - scammed, then dumped to qsstore

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/CVqaOmi.png

https://backpack.tf/item/11041319923 - ~4.45 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14037797291 - ~4.45 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11076471172 - 9 keys

Sales at:

4.3

4.35 (2x)

Various bot dumps (some invalid due to being from potential scammers/fences) would indicate a lower low-end would be ideal, but we have no evidence for anything lower than 4.3, so I’ll go with the sales we have for now.

Taking 4.3-4.35.