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upd
https://backpack.tf/item/4377102489
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1770249600/1770336000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117384982#!/compare/1770249600/1770336000
Galactic Gateway Pithy Professional
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117384982#!/compare/1770422400/1770508800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1770422400/1770508800
bulk
https://backpack.tf/item/3365909729
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164814063#!/compare/1766188800/1766275200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094713756#!/compare/1766275200/1766448000
?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094713756#!/compare/1769212800/1769558400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199142817642#!/compare/1769126400/1769212800
740k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199142817642#!/compare/1769904000/1769990400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198434668986#!/compare/1769904000/1769990400
Strange Festivized Killstreak Australium Sniper Rifle(Exo)(337k)+Scorching Flames Dr's Dapper Topper(295k)+Catastrophic Companions(109)=741k
●-mini for Strange Festivized Killstreak Australium Sniper Rifle(Exo)-
resold this for Strange Professional Killstreak Shooting Star(64) + Strange Professional Killstreak AWPer Hand(43) + Strange Villain's Veil
(with Voices)(50)+Purple Energy Modest Pile of Hat (with hh)(180)=337k
●Strange Professional Killstreak Shooting Star
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Shooting%20Star
Past 7 days
1 @ 66 keys 47.33 ref
Past 7 days
1 @ 64 keys 1.55 ref
1 @ 63 keys 52.11 ref
1 @ 63 keys 37.77 ref
●Strange Professional Killstreak AWPer Hand
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20AWPer%20Hand
Past 7 days
1 @ 45 keys 0.11 ref
Past 7 days
3 @ 42 keys 52.11 ref
1 @ 42 keys 51.44 ref
1 @ 41 keys 1.11 ref
●Strange Villain's Veil(with Voices)
bo - 50k now
●Purple Energy Modest Pile of Hat (with hh)
https://backpack.tf/item/278226509
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199142817642#!/compare/1773273600/1773446400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198791280421#!/compare/1773273600/1773446400
180k
●Catastrophic Companions
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Catastrophic%20Companions
Sales
Feb 2026
108 keys @ 22.02.2026, 17:48
109 keys @ 21.02.2026, 14:45
112 keys 53.33 ref @ 04.02.2026, 09:55
Purchases
Mar 2026
107 keys 20.66 ref @ 19.03.2026, 10:04
use 109
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198434668986#!/compare/1770336000/1770508800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199485225128#!/compare/1770336000/1770508800
trade with keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199485225128#!/compare/1770422400/1770508800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1770422400/1770508800
untrace
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30140;5;u59
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6
16/03/2026 sold for 1799$ / 1.9$ = 946,84k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376405743#!/compare/1773619200/1773705600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177132803#!/compare/1773619200/1773705600
bulk
https://backpack.tf/item/2118875144
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062425416#!/compare/1772668800/1772841600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177197071#!/compare/1772668800/1772841600
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177197071#!/compare/1772668800/1772755200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048724906#!/compare/1772668800/1772755200
351k+Purple Energy Candy Crown+Strange Cool Professional Killstreak Warborn Black Box (Well-Worn)+Strange Sacred Slayer War Paint (Factory New)
idk Purple Energy Candy Crown tradeback.
total:
Sell Orders:900k
Buy Orders:620k
Sales: 740 (x2), 947k
use 740
Enough time passed between the swap trades of the Candy Crown that you don't have to consider it a tradeback. The Black Box and War Paint weren't included also. That said, the Crown has no traceable sales, so the sale can still be excluded. Sellers on the Crown (3 months @ 393) would make that sale no higher than 744 Keys, further supporting the drop.
The 946 sale can be excluded because the buyer is the one who dumped it for 600 shortly after. While the Pithy's price was in-date at the time of the trade occurring for this, the Pithy's 835 sale was from October, a little over 3 months before the trade for this, so it'd be more accurate to use the suggested sales here.
Aussie sniper mini is wrong I think. You forgot to include keys. That sale should be 970.
3 new sales
Sale #1
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30140;5;u59
https://backpack.tf/item/3365909729
mp.tf sale on 3/16/26
$1799.99 / $1.90 = 947.36
Rounding to 946
Sale #2
https://backpack.tf/item/4377102489
1:1 galactic gateway pithy professional
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140316312#!/compare/1770163200/1770336000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117384982#!/compare/1770249600/1770336000
well in-date at 835 when the trade happened
835
sale #3
https://backpack.tf/item/3365909729
600 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376405743#!/compare/1773619200/1773705600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177132803#!/compare/1773619200/1773705600
proof: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Aces%20High%20Virtual%20Viewfinder&at=2026-04-26T19:36:44.178Z
it doesn't really matter, as the sellers are priced at 900. For gg pithy, it's better to use this sale to update the price of pithy. We have 2 net sales in the same range. 600 is a buy order. In any case, thank you for your observations