Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/11064821268

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198852268767#!/compare/1766707200/1766793600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1766707200/1766793600

Dumped to Quicksell.Store, 1 scrap matches

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1773360000/1773446400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199178023549#!/compare/1773360000/1773532800

5 keys

Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/12783917227

Sale 3:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31154;5;u3184

Sold for $6.99 on Jan 29 2026

Keys were $1.85 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

6.99/1.85=3.77 ~3.75 keys

Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/14124756705

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1769731200/1769817600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799217469#!/compare/1768521600/1770076800

Untrace, possibly sold for the Creepy Crawlies Skating Scorcher (should fall in-range or be close enough if it's actually the case)

Sales:

3.75, 5

Sellers:

BPTF - https://imgur.com/apbIWPZ none

MPTF - https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31154;5;u3184 $11.99 (~6.25 keys)

STN - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Pumpkin+Patch+Taunt%3A+Time+Out+Therapy none

SCM - https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Time%20Out%20Therapy?filter=Pumpkin+Patch https://imgur.com/gkkDbPY none

Going with 3.75-5 keys