Sale 1:

Sold for 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1770249600/1770336000 - Near ID: 16697226745

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1769990400/1770336000

https://backpack.tf/item/12203935584

= 9 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 8 keys + some amount of metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1773187200/1773273600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106200838#!/compare/1773273600/1773360000

https://backpack.tf/item/9538867390

Haven’t checked the buyer’s metal, this sale will fall into the range regardless

= 8 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to STN for 7 keys + ~1 key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198916430174#!/compare/1769558400/1769990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1769472000/1769558400

https://backpack.tf/item/12203935584

= 8 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 7 keys + 42 ref (keys were ~58.83 at the time)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106318198#!/compare/1768694400/1768953600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1768867200/1768953600

https://backpack.tf/item/9538867390

= 7.5 keys

Sale 5:

Sold to STN for 6 keys + ~1 key in metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104869032#!/compare/1769385600/1769558400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1769299200/1769385600

https://backpack.tf/item/11497913606

Follows the likely 11.5 key purchase of #4 below

= 7 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31153;5;u3097

https://backpack.tf/item/12272471417 - March 13th

https://backpack.tf/item/12178197261 - Feb 26th

https://backpack.tf/item/10313489054 - Jan 25th

https://backpack.tf/item/9550118033 - Feb 22nd

$17.99, Jan 25th & Feb 22nd

$17.49, Feb 26th & March 13th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.84, Jan 25th

$1.88, Feb 22nd & 26th

$1.90, March 13th

17.99/1.84 = 9.777, rounds to 10 keys

17.99/1.88 = 9.569, rounds to 9.5 keys

17.49/1.88 = 9.303, rounds to 9.5 keys

17.49/1.9 = 9.205, rounds to 9 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001061166#!/compare/1769990400/1774569600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124951456#!/compare/1770940800/1771977600

https://backpack.tf/item/10746409701

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047764616#!/compare/1768348800/1768780800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199539604012#!/compare/1768694400/1768780800

https://backpack.tf/item/12085795644

Untraceable/Bulk

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199106200838#!/compare/1773360000/1773792000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199095999816#!/compare/1773705600/1773792000

https://backpack.tf/item/9538867390

Gifted

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1769299200/1769385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104869032#!/compare/1769299200/1769385600

https://backpack.tf/item/11497913606

12 keys match, half a key of metal in return. Either there’s missing info here, or this is too high, and invalidated anyway as the buyer resold to stn later.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1769558400/1769644800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1769558400/1769644800

https://backpack.tf/item/11497913606

Untraceable. Transferred to their bot afterwards.

https://backpack.tf/item/12268335717 - qsstore bots

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/OZFUQRn.png

https://backpack.tf/item/12268335717 - ~8.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11497913606 - 10 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31153;5;u3097

https://backpack.tf/item/12220718423 - $17.49 (~9 keys)

Sales at:

7

7.5

8 (2x)

9 (2x, 1 marketplace)

9.5 (2x, 1 marketplace)

10 (marketplace)

Some lower sales went to bots/buy orders, but with an abundance of them and lack of current buyers at this price, they’ll be fine to include.

Similarly, the sellers for lower (1 on classies, 1 on marketplace) aren’t enough to counter the evidence of higher sales. Keeping 10 in the range.

Taking 7-10 keys.